Desportivo de Pemba - HCB Songo prediction 14/10/2026

Our Desportivo de Pemba vs HCB Songo prediction looks ahead to this Mocambola match on Oct 14 at 10:00. Based on the latest odds and team form, HCB Songo enters as the favorite with a 48% win probability, while the draw sits at 35% and a Desportivo de Pemba win at 17%.

Team Form

Desportivo de Pemba come into this match with a mixed record in their last four games, posting two wins and two losses. They beat Chingale de Tete 1-0 at home on Oct 9 and Vilankulo 2-1 at home on Jun 21, but lost 2-0 away to both Ferroviario Maputo on Aug 9 and Black Bulls on Aug 5. HCB Songo have played five recent matches, with one win, two draws, and two losses. They lost 1-0 away to Baia de Pemba on Oct 10, beat Maxaquene 4-0 at home on Sep 22, drew 2-2 away with Petro de Luanda in the CAF Champions League on Sep 12, lost 1-0 at home to Petro de Luanda on Sep 6, and drew 0-0 away with Ferroviario Maputo on Sep 2.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head data available for Desportivo de Pemba and HCB Songo. This will be the first recorded meeting between the two sides, making form and league positions the key factors for this prediction.

League Table Positions

Both teams compete in the Mocambola in Mozambique. While exact table positions and points are not provided in the current data, the recent results suggest HCB Songo has faced tougher opposition, including CAF Champions League matches, which may give them a slight edge in experience.

Win Probability: Desportivo de Pemba or HCB Songo?

We calculate the win probability for this match using the available odds and recent form. The average bookmaker odds imply a tight contest. After removing the margin, HCB Songo has a 48% chance to win, the draw is at 35%, and Desportivo de Pemba has a 17% chance. HCB Songo's higher probability comes from their stronger schedule and a dominant 4-0 win in their last home game. Desportivo de Pemba's two recent away losses without scoring are a concern. The most likely outcome is an away win, but the draw also has solid chances.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this Mocambola match show Desportivo de Pemba at 4.50, the draw at 2.88, and HCB Songo at 2.15. Bookmakers see HCB Songo as the favorite, and our analysis supports that view. Based on the stats, the Desportivo de Pemba vs HCB Songo prediction is a low-scoring away win or a draw. A 1-0 or 2-1 win for HCB Songo looks like a realistic match outcome.