Helmond Sport - Jong PSV Eindhoven prediction 11/09/2026

On September 11, 2026, Helmond Sport hosts Jong PSV Eindhoven in the 1 Eerste Divisie. This Helmond Sport vs Jong PSV Eindhoven prediction points to a tight match where the away side holds a slight edge, with Jong PSV Eindhoven having a 42% win probability compared to Helmond Sport's 33% and a 25% chance for the draw.

Team Form

Helmond Sport comes into this match with a mixed record in their last five outings: W, L, D, L, D. They beat VVV Venlo 4-2 at home on Sep 04, but lost 3-2 away to Jong Ajax on Aug 28. A 1-1 draw with RKC Waalwijk on Aug 21 and another 1-1 draw against De Graafschap on Aug 09 show they are tough to beat at home, though a 2-1 loss at Roda JC Kerkrade on Aug 14 exposed some defensive issues.

Jong PSV Eindhoven's recent form reads D, D, W, L, W. They drew 1-1 with Jong Ajax on Aug 31 and 2-2 at RKC Waalwijk on Aug 28. A 1-0 home win over Oss on Aug 24 and a 3-2 victory against Volendam on Aug 10 highlight their attacking threat, but a 3-1 loss at Almere City on Aug 14 shows they can be vulnerable on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides favors Jong PSV Eindhoven. In their last four meetings, Jong PSV Eindhoven has 2 wins and there have been 2 draws. Helmond Sport is yet to record a victory. The most recent clash on Jan 26, 2026, saw Jong PSV Eindhoven win 4-0 at home. Before that, on Nov 08, 2025, Jong PSV Eindhoven won 3-2 at Helmond Sport. The two matches in 2025 and 2024 both ended in draws (1-1 and 2-2).

League Table Positions

In the overall 1 Eerste Divisie standings, Jong PSV U21 sits 9th with 8 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). Helmond Sport is not in the top 12 of the overall table, but in the home standings they are 8th with 5 points from 3 games (1 win, 2 draws, 0 losses). Jong PSV U21 is 3rd in the home table with 7 points from 3 matches. The away table does not feature either team in the top 8, indicating both sides perform better at home.

Win Probability: Helmond Sport or Jong PSV Eindhoven?

Based on the available stats, Jong PSV Eindhoven has a 42% chance to win this match. Helmond Sport's win probability is 33%, and the draw sits at 25%. The calculation uses the head-to-head record where Jong PSV Eindhoven has never lost to Helmond Sport in four meetings, their slightly better overall league position, and their stronger recent form with two wins in the last five compared to Helmond Sport's one. However, Helmond Sport's unbeaten home record this season (1 win, 2 draws) and the two draws in the last four H2H matches keep this contest very open. The odds are not available in the data, so the probabilities are estimated purely from form, H2H, and standings.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not provided in the current data. Our Helmond Sport vs Jong PSV Eindhoven prediction is that Jong PSV Eindhoven is the more likely winner, but a draw is a real possibility given Helmond Sport's home resilience. Betting tips would lean towards a double chance on the away side or a bet on both teams to score, considering both teams have found the net regularly in recent matches and in three of their last four H2H encounters. Who will win? The stats suggest Jong PSV Eindhoven has the edge, but Helmond Sport will make it difficult at home.