Hoersholm Usseroed IK - Helsingor prediction 03/10/2026

Our Hoersholm Usseroed IK vs Helsingor prediction for the Denmark 3rd Division match on October 3, 2026, at 09:00 points to an away win. Helsingor enters this game as the favorite with a 48% win probability, while the home side has a 28% chance and the draw sits at 24%. Bookmakers and recent form both back the visitors, but the head-to-head record adds a note of caution.

Team Form

Hoersholm Usseroed IK's last five results show one win, three draws, and one loss (W-D-D-L-D). They are coming off a 2-1 away defeat to ASA Aarhus on Sep 26. Before that, they drew 1-1 at home with Vanlose and 0-0 at home with Aarhus Fremad in the Cup. Their only win in this stretch was a 3-1 home victory over Holbaek on Sep 13.

Helsingor's form is stronger with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five (W-D-W-L-W). They beat Holbaek 5-1 at home on Sep 25, drew 1-1 away at Naesby, and won 2-1 at home against Sundby BK. The loss came away to Bronshoj, 2-1 on Sep 4. Helsingor has scored 10 goals in these five matches, showing a clear attacking edge.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before. In a Cup match on Aug 25, 2026, Hoersholm Usseroed IK stunned Helsingor with a 5-2 away win. That result gives the home team a psychological advantage, but it was a different competition and context. The head-to-head record stands at one win for Hoersholm Usseroed IK, zero draws, and zero wins for Helsingor.

League Table Positions

In the overall 3rd Division standings, Helsingor sits 3rd with 17 points from 9 matches (5 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). Hoersholm Usseroed IK is 9th with 9 points (2 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses). The gap is 8 points. Helsingor's home form is perfect - 1st in the home table with 13 points from 5 games - but this match is away, where they rank 6th with 4 points from 4 away games. Hoersholm Usseroed IK's home form is not listed in the top 8, which suggests they struggle to turn home advantage into points.

Win Probability: Hoersholm Usseroed IK or Helsingor?

Based on the odds, team form, league positions, and home/away factor, we calculate the win probability as follows: Helsingor has a 48% chance to win, the draw is at 24%, and Hoersholm Usseroed IK has a 28% chance. The odds imply a tight match, but Helsingor's superior league standing and recent attacking form tip the balance. The head-to-head upset is a risk, but Helsingor's overall quality makes them the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer average odds around 3.25 for a home win, 2.50 for the draw, and 2.40 for an away win. The lowest away odds are 2.30, and the highest home odds are 3.40. The market clearly sees Helsingor as the favorite, but the odds also reflect a competitive match. Our Hoersholm Usseroed IK vs Helsingor prediction is an away win, but with the draw as a real possibility. Based on the stats, Helsingor should edge this, but the 5-2 Cup result is a reminder that surprises happen.