Shenzhen Peng City - Henan Jianye Songshan Longmen prediction 09/10/2026

On October 9, 2026, Shenzhen Peng City faces Henan Jianye Songshan Longmen in the China. Super League. This Shenzhen Peng City vs Henan Jianye Songshan Longmen prediction sees the visitors as slight favorites with a 38% chance to win, while the home side sits at 28% and a draw at 34%.

Team Form

Shenzhen Peng City comes into this match with inconsistent results. In their last five home games, they recorded one win, two draws, and two losses. Their most recent outing was a 1-1 draw away to Shandong Luneng Taishan on September 5. Before that, they lost 1-0 at home to Shanghai SIPG East Asia and drew 1-1 with Zhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou Greentown. The only win in this stretch was a 2-1 away victory over Liaoning Shenyang Urban Tieren.

Henan Jianye Songshan Longmen's away form has been defined by draws. Their last five road matches ended with four draws and one loss. They drew 1-1 at Wuhan Three Towns on September 12, played a 0-0 home draw against Chengdu Rongcheng (though that was at home), and drew 1-1 at home with Chongqing Tonglianglong. The lone defeat was a 4-1 loss at Shanghai Shenhua on August 15. The team has struggled to turn draws into wins, especially on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Henan Jianye Songshan Longmen. In five previous meetings, Shenzhen Peng City has never won, with two draws and three Henan victories. The most recent clash was on May 15, 2026, when Henan won 1-0 at home. Earlier in 2025, Henan won 4-1 at home and 3-1 away at Shenzhen. The two draws both came in 2021 in the China. FA Cup, including a 0-0 at Shenzhen and a 1-1 at Henan. Shenzhen has yet to find a way to beat this opponent.

League Table Positions

Henan Jianye Songshan Longmen sits 11th in the overall China. Super League standings with 33 points from 26 matches (8 wins, 9 draws, 9 losses). They have scored 33 goals and conceded 35. In away matches, they rank 6th with 16 points from 13 games (4 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses). Shenzhen Peng City is not among the top 12 in the overall table, indicating a lower position. The gap in league standing adds to Henan's advantage in this matchup.

Win Probability: Shenzhen Peng City or Henan Jianye Songshan Longmen?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, the win probabilities are: Shenzhen Peng City 28%, draw 34%, Henan Jianye Songshan Longmen 38%. The bookmakers' average odds (home 2.94, draw 2.54, away 2.42) imply a tight contest, but Henan's historical dominance and higher league rank tip the scales slightly in their favor. Shenzhen's poor home form and the head-to-head record (0 wins in 5) make an away win the most likely single outcome, though a draw is almost equally probable given Henan's recent string of draws on the road.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match are around 3.05 for a Shenzhen Peng City win, 2.35 for the draw, and 2.52 for a Henan Jianye Songshan Longmen victory, with variations across bookmakers. The market sees the away side as the narrow favorite. Our Shenzhen Peng City vs Henan Jianye Songshan Longmen prediction leans toward an away win or a draw, reflecting the stats. Henan's unbeaten H2H run and slightly superior league standing make them the safer pick, but Shenzhen's home advantage and Henan's tendency to draw away keep the draw in play. A 1-1 or 0-1 scoreline looks plausible.