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Helmond Sport - Heracles Almelo prediction 02/10/2026

Match info

Competição
1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Início

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Helmond Sport

Jong AZ AlkmaarHelmond Sport54D1 Eerste Divisie

Helmond SportNAC Breda02D1 Eerste Divisie

OssHelmond Sport31D1 Eerste Divisie

Helmond SportHeracles Almelo22E1 Eerste Divisie

MVV MaastrichtHelmond Sport20D1 Eerste Divisie
Heracles Almelo

NAC BredaHeracles Almelo11E1 Eerste Divisie

MVV MaastrichtHeracles Almelo15V1 Eerste Divisie

Heracles AlmeloRKC Waalwijk30V1 Eerste Divisie

Helmond SportHeracles Almelo22E1 Eerste Divisie

Heracles AlmeloSBV Vitesse Arnhem20V1 Eerste Divisie

Escalações

confirmada
Helmond Sport · Formação 4-4-2 · jogadores por posição
5Poll
4Koglin
7Sluijs
6Ludwig
20Dekkers
34Essakkati
8Llonch
1Bergsen
44Velde
43Landheer
11Cicero

Helmond Sport

Titulares
  • 5T. PollNetherlandsD
  • 4B. KoglinGermanyD
  • 7J. van der SluijsNetherlandsM
  • 6M. LudwigGermanyM
  • 20S. DekkersNetherlandsD
  • 34T. EssakkatiNetherlandsF
  • 8Pol LlonchSpainM
  • 1M. BergsenNetherlandsG
  • 44Xander van der VeldeM
  • 43T. LandheerD
  • 11L. CiceroF
Reservas
  • 10D. HuibertsNetherlandsM
  • 3F. Van Den EyndenBelgiumD
  • 22A. DizdarevićCroatiaM
  • 14Brian van den BoogaardNetherlandsD
  • 94Mauro LenaertsBelgiumF
  • 30K. EkoliF
  • 2R. van BreeD
  • 23A. El MaachG

Heracles Almelo

Titulares
  • 27J. N'djoliFranceF
  • 7C. AbbasMoroccoM
  • 32S. SchepermanNetherlandsM
  • 17T. van GilstNetherlandsM
  • 14M. WruschGermanyD
  • 4D. MiraniNetherlandsD
  • 15David VicenteSpainD
  • 25MannyD
  • 18M. HauswirthM
  • 1F. de KeijzerNetherlandsG
  • 5D. van der KustSurinameM
Reservas
  • 11J. Reine-AdélaïdeFranceM
  • 9V. PopplerSwedenF
  • 2M. BenitaNetherlandsD
  • 16T. JansinkNetherlandsG
  • 8M. EngelsGermanyM
  • 23M. te WierikNetherlandsD
  • 10T. BrunsNetherlandsM
  • 26D. van KaamNetherlandsM
  • 35S. BultmanNetherlandsD
  • 3Mario BoracCroatiaD
  • 33L. ZeevalkinknullG
  • 6D. TomićGermanyM

Confronto direto

7 confrontos
Helmond Sport 1Empates 15 Heracles Almelo

Helmond SportHeracles Almelo221 Eerste Divisie

Heracles AlmeloHelmond Sport20Friendly Clubs

Helmond SportHeracles Almelo011 Eerste Divisie

Heracles AlmeloHelmond Sport201 Eerste Divisie

Heracles AlmeloHelmond Sport201 Eerste Divisie

Heracles AlmeloHelmond Sport50Friendly Clubs

Helmond SportHeracles Almelo10Friendly Clubs

1 Eerste Divisie 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Heracles Almelo1191136:1328
2Almere City1171323:922
3VVV Venlo1171330:1822
4Emmen1171324:1922
5NAC Breda1162322:1920
6Roda1154212:919
7Vitesse1152416:1517
8Volendam1151523:1816
9MVV Maastricht1151514:2516
10RKC Waalwijk1136220:1615
11Jong AZ Alkmaar1142526:2214
12Den Bosch1142516:1914
13Jong PSV U211134415:1813
14Oss1140716:1712
15FC Eindhoven1132615:2311
16Jong Ajax1132615:2611
17De Graafschap1132614:2511
18Dordrecht1132614:2711
19Helmond Sport1123616:219
20Jong FC Utrecht1121817:257

Helmond Sport vs Heracles Almelo prediction for the 1 Eerste Divisie match on Oct 2, 2026, at 16:00. Based on the stats, Heracles Almelo is the clear favorite with a 65% win probability. Helmond Sport has only a 15% chance, while a draw is at 20%.

Team Form

Helmond Sport comes into this match with inconsistent form: two wins and three losses in their last five games (L, L, W, W, L). They lost 2-0 to MVV Maastricht and 2-1 to Den Bosch, but beat Jong PSV Eindhoven 3-1 and VVV Venlo 4-2 at home. Their defense has been leaky, conceding in four of those five matches.

Heracles Almelo, on the other hand, is flying high with four wins in their last five (W, L, W, W, W). They beat SBV Vitesse Arnhem 2-0, Jong AZ Alkmaar 3-2, De Graafschap 5-0, and FC Eindhoven 3-1. The only blip was a 1-0 loss at Almere City. With 13 goals scored in those five games, their attack is in top shape.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Heracles Almelo. In the last five meetings, Heracles won all five, including a 2-0 win in a 2023 friendly, a 1-0 away win in the 1 Eerste Divisie in April 2023, and a 2-0 home win in September 2022. Helmond Sport's only win in the overall H2H came earlier, but recent history is one-sided: Heracles has scored 12 goals and conceded none in the last five encounters.

League Table Positions

Heracles Almelo sits at the top of the 1 Eerste Divisie with 21 points from 8 matches (7 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss). They have scored 26 goals and conceded only 10. Helmond Sport is not even in the top 12 of the standings, highlighting the gap in quality. Heracles also has the best away record in the league, with 3 wins in 4 trips.

Win Probability: Helmond Sport or Heracles Almelo?

After analyzing the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Helmond Sport 15%, draw 20%, Heracles Almelo 65%. The bookmakers' odds imply a similar picture, with Heracles as the strong favorite. Their dominant H2H run and current form make an away win the most likely outcome. Helmond's home advantage at GS Staalwerken Stadion might keep it close, but the data points clearly to a Heracles victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match are around 6.80 for a Helmond Sport win, 2.75 for the draw, and 1.68 for a Heracles Almelo win. These numbers reflect the market's confidence in the visitors. Our Helmond Sport vs Heracles Almelo prediction is an away win, based on the stats. Heracles Almelo's firepower and solid defense should be too much for a struggling Helmond side.

Helmond Sport vs Heracles Almelo – FAQ

Who will win Helmond Sport vs Heracles Almelo?
Heracles Almelo is the strong favorite to win. Our calculated probabilities give Heracles a 65% chance, a draw 20%, and Helmond Sport only 15%.
What is the win probability for Heracles Almelo?
Heracles Almelo has a 65% win probability. This is based on their top league position, excellent recent form (4 wins in 5 games), and a perfect head-to-head record against Helmond Sport in the last five meetings.
When is the Helmond Sport vs Heracles Almelo match?
The match is on October 2, 2026, at 16:00 local time. It is a 1 Eerste Divisie fixture, the second tier of Dutch football.
What are the odds for the match?
Bookmakers offer odds around 6.80 for a Helmond Sport win, 2.75 for the draw, and 1.68 for a Heracles Almelo victory. These odds show Heracles as the clear favorite.
What is the head-to-head record between Helmond Sport and Heracles Almelo?
In the last five meetings, Heracles Almelo won all five, scoring 12 goals and conceding none. The most recent match was a 2-0 friendly win for Heracles in August 2023.