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Honefoss BK - KFUM Oslo prediction 30/09/2026

Norway · Cup·

Match info

Competição
Cup · Norway
Início
Estádio
AKA Arena, Hønefoss
Capacidade
4.586
Gramado
artificial

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Honefoss BK

Honefoss BKJunkeren21V2nd Division

LevangerHonefoss BK00E2nd Division

SkeidHonefoss BK43D2nd Division

Honefoss BKKFUM Oslo02DCup

Honefoss BKTromsdalen21V2nd Division
KFUM Oslo

TromsoKFUM Oslo11EEliteserien

KFUM OsloValerenga21VEliteserien

Honefoss BKKFUM Oslo02VCup

Sarpsborg 08KFUM Oslo13VEliteserien

KFUM OsloAalesund21VEliteserien

Confronto direto

4 confrontos
Honefoss BK 0Empates 22 KFUM Oslo

Honefoss BKKFUM Oslo02Cup

Honefoss BKKFUM Oslo14Cup

Honefoss BKKFUM Oslo22Friendly Clubs

Honefoss BKKFUM Oslo22Friendly Clubs

Honefoss BK vs KFUM Oslo prediction for the Cup match on Sep 30, 2026, at 13:00. Based on the odds and recent form, KFUM Oslo is the favorite with a 50% win probability, while Honefoss BK has a 20% chance and the draw stands at 30%.

Team Form

Honefoss BK comes into this match in excellent shape. Their last five results in the 2nd Division are W, W, D, W, W. They beat Tromsdalen 2-1, won 1-0 away at Rana FK, drew 1-1 with Grorud, edged Trygg/Lade 3-2, and defeated Follo 2-1. The team is scoring consistently and has lost none of those games.

KFUM Oslo plays in the Eliteserien, a higher division. Their recent form is mixed: W, W, L, L, W. They won 3-1 away at Sarpsborg 08, beat Aalesund 2-1 at home, lost 2-0 to Molde, fell 4-1 at IK Start, and crushed Ready 4-0 in the Cup. The two defeats came against strong Eliteserien sides, but the team has shown it can bounce back.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met three times before. KFUM Oslo won the most recent Cup clash 4-1 on May 24, 2023. The other two meetings were friendlies in 2018, both ending 2-2. Overall, KFUM Oslo has 1 win and 2 draws against Honefoss BK, with no losses. The head-to-head record slightly favors the away side.

Win Probability: Honefoss BK or KFUM Oslo?

We calculate the chances based on bookmaker odds, adjusted by form and head-to-head data. The raw odds imply a 18.9% home win, 32.1% draw, and 49.0% away win. After factoring in Honefoss BK's strong recent run and home advantage, we adjust the probabilities to: Honefoss BK 20%, draw 30%, KFUM Oslo 50%. The gap in league level is the main reason KFUM Oslo remains the clear favorite, but Honefoss BK's form cannot be ignored.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see KFUM Oslo as the favorite. The 1X2 odds from one bookmaker are: Honefoss BK 4.75, draw 2.80, KFUM Oslo 1.83. Other odds range from 4.33 to 5.25 for the home win and 1.20 to 1.83 for the away win. The betting tips point to an away win, but the draw also has decent value. Based on the stats, KFUM Oslo is the more likely winner, but Honefoss BK could make it competitive. A low-scoring match is possible, given the Cup context.

Honefoss BK vs KFUM Oslo – FAQ

Who will win Honefoss BK vs KFUM Oslo?
KFUM Oslo is the favorite to win, with a 50% probability. Honefoss BK has a 20% chance, and the draw is at 30%. The away team plays in a higher division and has a better head-to-head record, which gives them the edge.
What is the win probability for KFUM Oslo?
KFUM Oslo has a 50% chance to win the match. This number comes from the odds and is supported by their Eliteserien status and the 4-1 win in the last Cup meeting between the sides.
When is the Honefoss BK vs KFUM Oslo match?
The match is on Sep 30, 2026, at 13:00 local time. It is a Cup fixture in Norway.
What are the odds for the match?
The 1X2 odds vary across bookmakers. One set shows Honefoss BK at 4.75, the draw at 2.80, and KFUM Oslo at 1.83. Other odds range from 4.33 to 5.25 for the home win and 1.20 to 1.83 for the away win.