Pamplona - Huarte prediction 03/10/2026

Our Pamplona vs Huarte prediction for October 3, 2026, points to a home win in this Tercera Federacion clash. Based on the latest odds, head-to-head record, and recent form, Pamplona has a 52% chance to win, the draw sits at 28%, and Huarte has a 20% chance. Read on for the full match preview, betting tips, and win probability breakdown.

Team Form

Pamplona comes into this match with a mixed run of results: W, D, L, W, D in their last five outings. They scored a big 5-1 win over CD Izarra on June 6, 2026, and also beat Mutilvera 3-1 away in a friendly. The draws against Real Murcia II and CD Izarra show they can be solid but sometimes lack a cutting edge.

Huarte's recent form reads D, L, L, W, W. They drew 0-0 at home with Club Deportivo Aoiz on September 18, 2026, and lost 2-1 away to CD Cantolagua. Earlier friendly and league wins against Atletico Artajones and Subiza show they can pick up results, but consistency has been an issue on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The H2H record between these two sides is tight. In the last 7 meetings, Pamplona has 3 wins, Huarte has 2 wins, and there have been 2 draws. The most recent match was on January 10, 2026, when Pamplona won 2-1 away at Huarte. Before that, Pamplona won 2-0 at home on April 4, 2025. Huarte's last win in this fixture was a 4-0 home victory back in November 2024. Home advantage has often been key in this matchup.

League Table Positions

Neither Pamplona nor Huarte appears in the provided league standings snippet, which only covers a different group of Tercera Federacion teams. Without direct table data for these clubs, we rely on form and H2H to assess their relative strength. Pamplona's recent results in the division suggest they are competitive, while Huarte's away form remains a concern.

Win Probability: Pamplona or Huarte?

We calculate the win probability for this match based on bookmaker odds and historical data. The average home win odds of around 2.15 imply a 46.5% raw chance, while the draw at 2.25 gives 44.4%, and the away win at 4.50 gives 22.2%. After removing the bookmaker margin and adjusting for Pamplona's home advantage and superior H2H record (3 wins to 2), we arrive at: Pamplona win 52%, draw 28%, Huarte win 20%. Pamplona is the clear favorite to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a tight contest. The best available odds show Pamplona at 2.20, the draw at 2.25, and Huarte as high as 4.75. The odds have shortened slightly on the home side, reflecting confidence in Pamplona. Our Pamplona vs Huarte prediction is a home win. Based on the stats, the 1X2 market offers value on Pamplona, and the under 2.5 goals could also be worth a look given the recent low-scoring affairs between these sides.