IFK Norrkoping - GIF Sundsvall prediction 13/10/2026

IFK Norrkoping vs GIF Sundsvall prediction for the Superettan match on October 13, 2026, at 14:00. Based on the stats, IFK Norrkoping is the clear favorite with an 80% win probability. The home team leads the league table and has never lost to GIF Sundsvall in 16 head-to-head meetings.

Team Form

IFK Norrkoping comes into this game after a run of three draws and two wins in their last five matches. They drew 0-0 with Kalmar FF in a friendly, beat Osters IF 3-1 away, drew 0-0 with Oddevold at home, won 2-0 at Varbergs BoIS, and drew 2-2 with Ljungskile. The team has been solid defensively, keeping clean sheets in three of those five games.

GIF Sundsvall's recent form is more inconsistent. They lost 1-0 to Sandvikens IF in a friendly, beat Ljungskile 3-2 at home, lost 4-0 at Landskrona BoIS, lost 3-0 at home to Orebro SK, and won 1-0 at Brage. Two wins and three losses in the last five show a team struggling for consistency, especially away from home.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors IFK Norrkoping. In 16 meetings, IFK Norrkoping has won 8, drawn 8, and lost 0. The last five matches ended with IFK Norrkoping wins: 3-1 away in May 2026, 3-1 away in October 2022, 5-1 at home in May 2022, another 5-1 home win that same day, and a 2-0 home win in the Cup in February 2021. GIF Sundsvall has never beaten IFK Norrkoping, which is a key factor for this prediction.

League Table Positions

IFK Norrkoping sits at the top of the Superettan table with 55 points from 25 matches (17 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses). They have scored 48 goals and conceded only 16, the best defensive record in the league. At home, they are 4th with 24 points from 12 games (7 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). Away from home, they are the best team with 31 points from 13 games (10 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses).

GIF Sundsvall is not in the top 12 of the overall standings, which indicates they are in the lower part of the table. Their exact position is not available, but the gap between the two teams is huge. The home advantage and the league positions make IFK Norrkoping the strong favorite.

Win Probability: IFK Norrkoping or GIF Sundsvall?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league table, the win probability for this match is: IFK Norrkoping 80%, draw 13%, GIF Sundsvall 7%. The odds from bookmakers show IFK Norrkoping as a massive favorite with a home win price around 1.20. After removing the bookmaker margin, the implied probability for a home win is close to 80%. The head-to-head record (8 wins, 0 losses for IFK Norrkoping) and the league positions support this. GIF Sundsvall's away form is poor, and they have never won against this opponent. The draw probability is low but possible, given IFK Norrkoping's recent three draws in five games. However, the most likely outcome is a home win.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best odds available for this match are: IFK Norrkoping win at 1.17, draw at 7.20, and GIF Sundsvall win at 14.00. Bookmakers see IFK Norrkoping as the clear favorite. Our IFK Norrkoping vs GIF Sundsvall prediction is a home win. The stats, the H2H record, and the league table all point to IFK Norrkoping taking the three points. A bet on the home team to win offers low odds but high probability. For those looking for higher returns, a handicap bet on IFK Norrkoping -1.5 could be an option, considering they have scored at least two goals in all recent H2H wins.