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Libertad Loja - Independiente Del Valle prediction 13/09/2026

Ecuador · Serie A·

Match info

Competição
Serie A · Ecuador
Início
Estádio
Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja
Capacidade
15.281
Gramado
grass

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Libertad Loja

Libertad LojaGuayaquil City40VSerie A

Libertad LojaLeones Del Norte30VSerie A

EmelecLibertad Loja12VSerie A

Libertad LojaIndependiente Del Valle23DSerie A

Deportivo CuencaLibertad Loja01VSerie A
Independiente Del Valle

Independiente Del ValleUniversidad Catolica del Ecuador00ESerie A

MacaraIndependiente Del Valle10DSerie A

Independiente Del ValleSD Aucas Quito21VSerie A

Gualaceo SCIndependiente Del Valle02VCup

Barcelona GuayaquilIndependiente Del Valle00ESerie A

Confronto direto

8 confrontos
Libertad Loja 2Empates 33 Independiente Del Valle

Libertad LojaIndependiente Del Valle23Serie A

Independiente Del ValleLibertad Loja23Serie A

Independiente Del ValleLibertad Loja11Serie A

Libertad LojaIndependiente Del Valle13Serie A

Independiente Del ValleLibertad Loja11Serie A

Libertad LojaIndependiente Del Valle20Serie A

Independiente Del ValleLibertad Loja20Serie A

Libertad LojaIndependiente Del Valle00Serie A

Serie A 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Independiente Del Valle30242473:3374
2Universidad Catolica del Ecuador30149751:2751
3Macara30156941:3351
4SD Aucas Quito30148833:2850
5LDU Quito301371031:2446
6Barcelona Guayaquil301111832:2544
7Libertad301181133:3441
8Leones Del Norte301091131:3239
9Guayaquil City301091133:3639
10Emelec301091125:3439
11Mushuc Runa309111035:3838
12Deportivo Cuenca301061425:3736
13Orense SC30961536:4733
14Tecnico Universitario301021828:4232
15Delfin SC30771619:3128
16Manta FC30561917:4221

Libertad Loja vs Independiente Del Valle prediction for the Serie A match on Sep 13 at 20:00. Based on the stats, Independiente Del Valle is the clear favorite with a 58% win probability. Libertad Loja has a 22% chance of winning, and the draw is at 20%.

Team Form

Libertad Loja's last five results are W, D, L, W, D. They beat Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 away on Sep 07 and drew 1-1 at home against Emelec on Sep 04. Before that, they lost 1-0 to SD Aucas Quito. Their home form shows some resilience with a 1-0 win over Macara on Aug 25.

Independiente Del Valle's recent form reads W, L, D, W, W. They won 3-1 at home against Macara on Sep 05 but lost 2-1 away to Barcelona Guayaquil on Sep 03. A 2-2 home draw with Universidad Catolica del Ecuador and a 3-1 Copa Libertadores win over Deportes Tolima show their attacking strength.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these teams is balanced. In the last 7 meetings, Libertad Loja has 2 wins, Independiente Del Valle has 2 wins, and there have been 3 draws. The most recent match on May 23 saw Libertad Loja win 3-2 away at Independiente Del Valle. Before that, a 1-1 draw in Dec 2025 and a 3-1 win for Independiente Del Valle in Nov 2025.

League Table Positions

Independiente Del Valle sits 1st in the Serie A overall standings with 71 points from 29 matches (23 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses). They have scored 70 goals and conceded 31. Their away record is the best in the league: 12 wins and 2 losses from 14 matches. Libertad Loja is not listed in the top 12 of the overall table, but a team named Libertad is 8th with 38 points. The home table shows Libertad in 5th with 27 points from 14 home games.

Win Probability: Libertad Loja or Independiente Del Valle?

Who will win this match? The win probability calculation gives Independiente Del Valle a 58% chance, a draw 20%, and Libertad Loja 22%. This is based on the odds, where Independiente Del Valle is priced around 2.10-2.20, and adjusted for their dominant league position and away form. Libertad Loja's home strength and the recent H2H win keep their chances above 20%, but Independiente Del Valle's consistency makes them the likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers' odds for this match show Independiente Del Valle as the favorite. The 1X2 odds are around 4.20 for a home win, 2.25 for the draw, and 2.10 for an away win. These odds reflect Independiente Del Valle's strong season. Our Libertad Loja vs Independiente Del Valle prediction is an away win, based on the stats, league table, and overall team quality.

Libertad Loja vs Independiente Del Valle – FAQ

Who will win Libertad Loja vs Independiente Del Valle?
Independiente Del Valle is the favorite to win. The win probability is 58% for Independiente Del Valle, 22% for Libertad Loja, and 20% for a draw.
What is the win probability for Independiente Del Valle?
Independiente Del Valle has a 58% chance to win this match. This is based on their top position in the Serie A table, strong away record, and the bookmakers' odds.
When is the Libertad Loja vs Independiente Del Valle match?
The match is on Sep 13 at 20:00. It is a Serie A fixture in Ecuador.
What are the odds for the match?
The 1X2 odds are around 4.20 for a Libertad Loja win, 2.25 for a draw, and 2.10 for an Independiente Del Valle win. These odds come from pre-match bookmaker data.
What is the head-to-head record between Libertad Loja and Independiente Del Valle?
In the last 7 meetings, both teams have 2 wins each and there have been 3 draws. The most recent match on May 23 ended in a 3-2 away win for Libertad Loja.