America de Cali - EDP Independiente Medellin prediction 11/10/2026

This America de Cali vs EDP Independiente Medellin prediction looks at the Primera A match on Oct 11 at 22:15 at Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero. Based on the stats, America de Cali is the favorite with a 52% win probability, the draw sits at 25%, and EDP Independiente Medellin has a 23% chance.

Team Form

America de Cali comes into this match with strong recent results. Their last five games show three wins, one draw, and one loss. They beat Llaneros FC 2-1 away on Oct 4, won 1-0 at home against Rionegro Aguilas on Sep 23, and drew 1-1 away at Deportes Tolima on Sep 20. A 0-1 home loss to Deportivo Pasto on Sep 14 is the only recent setback. They also won 4-1 at home against Deportivo Pereira in the Cup on Sep 9.

EDP Independiente Medellin's form is more mixed. Their last five results are one loss, two draws, one win, and one draw. They lost 0-1 at home to Independiente Santa Fe on Oct 5, drew 2-2 at home with Club Deportivo Los Millonarios on Sep 29, and lost 2-0 away to CD Junior FC on Sep 26. A 2-1 home win over Jaguares de Cordoba on Sep 22 and a 2-2 away draw at Atletico Bucaramanga on Sep 17 complete the picture.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record favors EDP Independiente Medellin historically. In 45 matches, EDP Independiente Medellin has 27 wins, America de Cali has 13, and there have been 5 draws. The last meeting was on Mar 30, 2026, when EDP Independiente Medellin won 2-1 at home. Before that, on Dec 1, 2025, they drew 1-1. America de Cali's last win in this fixture was a 2-1 home victory on Nov 27, 2025.

League Table Positions

In the overall Primera A standings, America de Cali sits 4th with 33 points from 19 matches, scoring 25 goals and conceding 15. EDP Independiente Medellin is 11th with 26 points, scoring 26 and conceding 24. At home, America de Cali is very strong - 3rd in the home table with 21 points from 9 games, unbeaten with 6 wins and 3 draws, and only 3 goals conceded. EDP Independiente Medellin's away form places them 7th in the away table with 12 points from 9 games.

Win Probability: America de Cali or EDP Independiente Medellin?

Who will win this match? Based on the odds, form, and league positions, America de Cali has a 52% chance of winning. The draw probability is 25%, and EDP Independiente Medellin has a 23% chance. The home team's solid defense at Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero and their higher league rank give them a clear edge. EDP Independiente Medellin's strong head-to-head record keeps their chances alive, but their recent away form is inconsistent.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see America de Cali as the favorite. The best available home win odds are around 1.83, the draw is priced at about 3.78, and an away win for EDP Independiente Medellin is at 5.00. These odds reflect the home team's strong position. Our America de Cali vs EDP Independiente Medellin prediction is a home win, but the head-to-head history suggests it could be a close game. Based on the stats, a low-scoring match is likely.