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Independiente Santa Fe - Deportes Tolima prediction 11/09/2026

Colombia · Primera A·

Match info

Competição
Primera A · Colombia
Início

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Independiente Santa Fe

Independiente Santa FeJaguares de Cordoba21VPrimera A

Llaneros FCIndependiente Santa Fe10DPrimera A

Independiente Santa FeFortaleza Zipaquira22ECup

EDP Independiente MedellinIndependiente Santa Fe01VPrimera A

Deportivo PereiraIndependiente Santa Fe12VPrimera A
Deportes Tolima

Rionegro AguilasDeportes Tolima21DPrimera A

Jaguares de CordobaDeportes Tolima32DPrimera A

Atletico Nacional MedellinDeportes Tolima00EPrimera A

Deportes TolimaBoyaca Chico00EPrimera A

Fortaleza ZipaquiraDeportes Tolima22EPrimera A

Escalações

confirmada
Independiente Santa Fe · Formação 4-2-3-1 · jogadores por posição
3Moreno
10Zapata
1Mosquera
14Palacios
6Toscano
19Bustos
24Angulo
16Torres
15Scarpeta
4Puerta
17Lovera

Independiente Santa Fe

Titulares
  • 3V. MorenoColombiaD
  • 10A. ZapataColombiaM
  • 1A. MosqueraColombiaG
  • 14L. PalaciosColombiaM
  • 6K. ToscanoColombiaM
  • 19N. BustosArgentinaF
  • 24Jeison AnguloColombiaD
  • 16D. TorresColombiaM
  • 15I. ScarpetaColombiaD
  • 4M. PuertaColombiaD
  • 17M. LoveraArgentinaM
Reservas
  • 12W. AsprillaColombiaG
  • 25E. RodríguezColombiaM
  • 77J. ObrianColombiaF
  • 9F. FagúndezUruguayF
  • 7J. TorresColombiaF
  • 11H. RodallegaColombiaF
  • 18E. OliveraArgentinaD

Deportes Tolima

Titulares
  • 20J. HernándezColombiaD
  • 10L. SánchezColombiaM
  • 1Neto VolpiBrazilG
  • 14H. MartínezColombiaM
  • 32S. GuzmánColombiaM
  • 5J. MeraColombiaD
  • 3J. AnguloColombiaD
  • 18K. FlórezColombiaM
  • 24A. ParraColombiaF
  • 28E. LópezColombiaM
  • 2A. AnguloColombiaD
Reservas
  • 6C. TrujilloColombiaM
  • 4D. PedrozoColombiaD
  • 7J. CabezasColombiaF
  • 13M. OrtegaMexicoG
  • 15S. AguayoUSAF
  • 30S. P. Barbosa GomezD
  • 33J. MosqueraColombiaD
  • 19Joven SantiagoColombiaF

Confronto direto

34 confrontos
Independiente Santa Fe 15Empates 118 Deportes Tolima

Independiente Santa FeDeportes Tolima10Primera A

Deportes TolimaIndependiente Santa Fe22Primera A

Deportes TolimaIndependiente Santa Fe10Primera A

Independiente Santa FeDeportes Tolima12Primera A

Deportes TolimaIndependiente Santa Fe01Primera A

Independiente Santa FeDeportes Tolima00Primera A

Independiente Santa FeDeportes Tolima11Primera A

Deportes TolimaIndependiente Santa Fe10Primera A

Independiente Santa FeDeportes Tolima20Primera A

Independiente Santa FeDeportes Tolima21Primera A

Primera A 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Atletico Nacional Medellin19131535:1540
2CD Junior FC19112631:2435
3Deportivo Pasto19104529:2534
4America de Cali19103625:1533
5Once Caldas1989231:2233
6Deportes Tolima1987427:1731
7Santa Fe1978429:2229
8Inter Bogota FC1977526:2628
9Deportivo Cali1976620:1627
10Club Deportivo Los Millonarios1975731:2326
11EDP Independiente Medellin1975726:2426
12Rionegro Aguilas1975720:2526
13Atletico Bucaramanga1958626:2023
14Llaneros FC19410517:2022
15Fortaleza FC1957722:2722
16Jaguares19531120:3318
17Alianza Valledupar1938813:2717
18Boyaca Chico19521215:3217
19Cucuta1937922:3516
20Deportivo Pereira19171115:3210

This Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima prediction looks at the Primera A match on Sep 12, 2026 at 01:30. Based on the stats, Independiente Santa Fe enters as a slight favorite with a 47% win probability, while the draw is a strong possibility at 33%. We break down the team form, head-to-head record, and league table positions to give you the best betting tips.

Team Form

Independiente Santa Fe's recent form shows a lot of draws. Their last five results are D, W, D, D, D. They drew 2-2 with Fortaleza Zipaquira on Sep 05 and beat Club Deportivo Los Millonarios 3-2 on Sep 03. Before that, three straight draws against CD Junior FC (1-1), River Plate (1-1), and America de Cali (0-0). They are hard to beat but struggle to close out games.

Deportes Tolima's form is mixed with W, D, L, D, L in their last five. They beat Cucuta Deportivo 2-1 on Sep 01 and drew 0-0 with Once Caldas on Aug 28. Their two losses came in the Copa Libertadores against Independiente Del Valle (3-1 and 1-0). In the league, they are more solid, with a 0-0 draw against Atletico Bucaramanga on Aug 22.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams favors Independiente Santa Fe. In 33 matches, Independiente Santa Fe has 14 wins, Deportes Tolima has 8, and 11 ended in draws. The last five meetings show a tight contest: a 2-2 draw on Apr 05, 2026, a 1-0 win for Deportes Tolima on Nov 29, 2025, a 2-1 win for Deportes Tolima on Nov 26, 2025, a 1-0 win for Independiente Santa Fe on Jul 19, 2025, and a 0-0 draw on Feb 01, 2025. The recent trend is very even, with both teams capable of taking points.

League Table Positions

In the Primera A overall standings, Deportes Tolima sits 6th with 31 points from 19 matches (8 wins, 7 draws, 4 losses). Independiente Santa Fe, listed as Santa Fe, is 7th with 29 points (7 wins, 8 draws, 4 losses). The gap is just 2 points. At home, Deportes Tolima is very strong, ranked 2nd with 23 points from 10 home games. Independiente Santa Fe's away form is solid, ranked 4th with 14 points from 10 away matches. This match pits a strong home side against a resilient away team.

Win Probability: Independiente Santa Fe or Deportes Tolima?

Who will win this match? We calculate the win probability based on odds, form, and H2H stats. The bookmaker odds imply a tight contest. The best available odds are 2.88 for a home win, 2.00 for a draw, and 3.70 for an away win. After removing the margin, the true probabilities are: Independiente Santa Fe win 47%, draw 33%, Deportes Tolima win 20%. The high draw probability reflects Independiente Santa Fe's five-game run of mostly draws and the even head-to-head record. Deportes Tolima's strong home record is balanced by their recent inconsistent form. Independiente Santa Fe has a clear edge in win probability, but the draw is a very real outcome here.

Odds & Match Prediction

The odds for this match show Independiente Santa Fe as the favorite. One bookmaker offers 2.88 for a home win, while another has 2.80. The draw is priced at 2.00, and an away win for Deportes Tolima is at 3.50 or 3.70. Based on the stats, Independiente Santa Fe is more likely to win, but the value might be in the draw market given both teams' recent form. Our Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima prediction is a low-scoring match, with a draw or a narrow home win as the most probable outcomes.

Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima – FAQ

Who will win Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima?
Independiente Santa Fe has a 47% chance to win, the draw is at 33%, and Deportes Tolima has a 20% chance. Independiente Santa Fe is the favorite based on overall H2H record and away form, but the high draw probability reflects their recent run of draws.
What is the win probability for Independiente Santa Fe?
Independiente Santa Fe has a 47% win probability. This is calculated from the betting odds and adjusted for the team's recent form, where they have drawn four of their last five matches, and their historical edge in the head-to-head record.
When is the Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima match?
The match is on Sep 12, 2026, at 01:30. It is a Primera A fixture in Colombia.
What are the odds for Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima?
The best available odds are 2.88 for an Independiente Santa Fe win, 2.00 for a draw, and 3.70 for a Deportes Tolima win. These odds show Independiente Santa Fe as the favorite and the draw as a strong second possibility.