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Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Cali prediction 22/09/2026

Colombia · Primera A·

Match info

Competição
Primera A · Colombia
Início

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Independiente Santa Fe

Independiente Santa FeJaguares de Cordoba21VPrimera A

Llaneros FCIndependiente Santa Fe10DPrimera A

Independiente Santa FeFortaleza Zipaquira22ECup

EDP Independiente MedellinIndependiente Santa Fe01VPrimera A

Deportivo PereiraIndependiente Santa Fe12VPrimera A
Deportivo Cali

Llaneros FCDeportivo Cali03VPrimera A

Deportivo CaliCD Junior FC00EPrimera A

Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Cali00EPrimera A

Deportivo CaliAlianza Petrolera31VPrimera A

Deportivo CaliRionegro Aguilas20VPrimera A

Confronto direto

33 confrontos
Independiente Santa Fe 12Empates 1011 Deportivo Cali

Independiente Santa FeDeportivo Cali01Primera A

Deportivo CaliIndependiente Santa Fe11Primera A

Independiente Santa FeDeportivo Cali10Primera A

Deportivo CaliIndependiente Santa Fe02Primera A

Independiente Santa FeDeportivo Cali10Primera A

Deportivo CaliIndependiente Santa Fe22Primera A

Independiente Santa FeDeportivo Cali10Cup

Deportivo CaliIndependiente Santa Fe21Primera B

Independiente Santa FeDeportivo Cali30Primera A

Independiente Santa FeDeportivo Cali30Primera A

Primera A 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Atletico Nacional Medellin19131535:1540
2CD Junior FC19112631:2435
3Deportivo Pasto19104529:2534
4America de Cali19103625:1533
5Once Caldas1989231:2233
6Deportes Tolima1987427:1731
7Independiente Santa Fe1978429:2229
8Inter Bogota FC1977526:2628
9Deportivo Cali1976620:1627
10Club Deportivo Los Millonarios1975731:2326
11EDP Independiente Medellin1975726:2426
12Rionegro Aguilas1975720:2526
13Atletico Bucaramanga1958626:2023
14Llaneros FC19410517:2022
15Fortaleza Zipaquira1957722:2722
16Jaguares19531120:3318
17Alianza Petrolera1938813:2717
18Boyaca Chico19521215:3217
19Cucuta1937922:3516
20Deportivo Pereira19171115:3210

Our Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali prediction for this Primera A match on Sep 22, 2026 at 22:00 leans toward a home win. Based on the latest form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, Independiente Santa Fe has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Deportivo Cali has a 22% chance.

Team Form

Independiente Santa Fe comes into this match with a mixed run of results in their last five outings: W, L, W, D, D. They scored a big 4-1 away win against Alianza Petrolera on Sep 19 but lost 2-0 to Vasco da Gama RJ in the Copa Sudamericana on Sep 15. At home, they beat Deportes Tolima 1-0 on Sep 11 and drew 0-0 with Vasco da Gama RJ and 2-2 with Fortaleza Zipaquira.

Deportivo Cali's recent form reads W, W, D, L, D. They beat Cucuta Deportivo 3-0 at home on Sep 19 and won 2-1 away at Once Caldas on Sep 13. A 1-1 draw at Club Deportivo Los Millonarios and a 3-0 cup loss at Atletico Nacional Medellin show some inconsistency, especially on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is tight. In the last 32 meetings, Independiente Santa Fe has 12 wins, Deportivo Cali has 10, and there have been 10 draws. The most recent match on Mar 18, 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw at Deportivo Cali. Before that, Independiente Santa Fe won 1-0 at home on Nov 9, 2025, and also won 2-0 away on May 17, 2025. The home team has a clear edge in recent H2H clashes.

League Table Positions

In the overall Primera A standings, Independiente Santa Fe sits 7th with 29 points from 19 matches (7 wins, 8 draws, 4 losses). Deportivo Cali is 9th with 27 points (7 wins, 6 draws, 6 losses). At home, Deportivo Cali is strong with 19 points from 10 games, but Independiente Santa Fe's away form shows 14 points from 10 games, with only 2 losses. The table suggests a very even contest.

Win Probability: Independiente Santa Fe or Deportivo Cali?

After analyzing the data, we calculate the win probability as follows: Independiente Santa Fe 48%, draw 30%, Deportivo Cali 22%. The odds from bookmakers show Independiente Santa Fe as the favorite with an average price around 2.10. We adjusted the implied probabilities from the best available odds to remove the margin and then factored in the home advantage, recent H2H results (Independiente Santa Fe won two of the last three), and the league table gap. Deportivo Cali's away form is decent, but Independiente Santa Fe's solid defense and historical edge tip the balance. The most likely outcome is a home win.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available 1X2 odds for this match show Independiente Santa Fe at a best price of 2.18, the draw at 3.17, and an away win for Deportivo Cali at 3.86. Other bookmakers have the home win as low as 2.05. These betting tips reflect the market view that Independiente Santa Fe is the favorite. Our match prediction is a home victory for Independiente Santa Fe, based on the stats, the H2H record, and the current form. A low-scoring game is possible, given both teams' recent results.

Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali – FAQ

Who will win Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali?
Based on our analysis, Independiente Santa Fe has a 48% chance to win, a draw has a 30% probability, and Deportivo Cali has a 22% chance. The home team is the favorite according to the odds and recent head-to-head results.
What is the win probability for Independiente Santa Fe?
Independiente Santa Fe has a 48% win probability. This is based on their home advantage, better league position, and a strong recent H2H record where they won two of the last three meetings.
When is the Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali match?
The match is on Sep 22, 2026, at 22:00 local time. It is a Primera A fixture in Colombia, played at Estadio Nemesio Diez in Toluca.
What are the odds for Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali?
The 1X2 odds show Independiente Santa Fe at 2.18, the draw at 3.17, and Deportivo Cali at 3.86. Some bookmakers offer a home win as low as 2.05, confirming Independiente Santa Fe as the favorite.