SV Waldhof Mannheim - Ingolstadt 04 prediction 14/10/2026

The SV Waldhof Mannheim vs Ingolstadt 04 prediction for October 14, 2026, points to a tight 3rd Liga contest at Carl-Benz-Stadion. Based on the odds, form, and head-to-head record, SV Waldhof Mannheim enters as the favorite with a 48% win probability, while Ingolstadt 04 has a 27% chance and the draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

SV Waldhof Mannheim comes into this match with a mixed run of results. Their last five outings show two wins and three losses (W, W, L, W, L). In their most recent match on Oct 10, they beat SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 5-1 away. Before that, they secured a 2-0 home win over Preussen Munster on Sep 20. However, they also suffered a 1-2 home loss to Rot-Weiss Essen on Sep 16.

Ingolstadt 04 is struggling for consistency. Their form over the last five matches reads L, L, L, L, W. They lost 2-4 at home to SV Wehen Wiesbaden on Oct 11. A 1-3 friendly loss at Nurnberg on Oct 2 was followed by a 0-3 defeat at Viktoria Koln on Sep 19. Their only recent win was a 1-0 result at Saarbrucken on Sep 12.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these sides favors Ingolstadt 04. In 12 previous meetings, SV Waldhof Mannheim has 2 wins, Ingolstadt 04 has 5 wins, and there have been 5 draws. The last encounter on May 16, 2026, saw Ingolstadt 04 dominate with a 5-1 home victory. The match before that, on Dec 20, 2025, ended in a 2-2 draw at Carl-Benz-Stadion. Three of the last five H2H matches have ended in draws, showing how evenly matched these teams can be.

League Table Positions

In the overall 3rd Liga standings, SV Waldhof Mannheim sits 6th with 13 points from 8 matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). They have scored 16 goals and conceded 11. Ingolstadt 04 is not in the top 12 of the overall table, but their away form is solid: they rank 8th in the away standings with 7 points from 4 away games (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), scoring 4 and conceding 4. SV Waldhof Mannheim's away form is also strong, ranked 5th with 7 points from 4 away matches.

Win Probability: SV Waldhof Mannheim or Ingolstadt 04?

After analyzing the SV Waldhof Mannheim vs Ingolstadt 04 odds, recent form, and H2H stats, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: SV Waldhof Mannheim has a 48% chance to win, a draw has a 25% chance, and Ingolstadt 04 has a 27% chance. The bookmakers' average odds (home win around 2.13, draw 2.51, away win 3.23) were used as a base, with the implied probabilities adjusted for the home team's slightly better league position and Ingolstadt's poor recent form. Despite Ingolstadt's historical edge in H2H, their current four losses in five games reduce their chances. SV Waldhof Mannheim's home advantage at Carl-Benz-Stadion tips the balance, making them the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds from bookmakers show SV Waldhof Mannheim as the favorite. The best home win odds are around 2.30, with some books offering as low as 1.83. The draw is priced around 2.50 to 2.56, and an Ingolstadt 04 away win ranges from 2.90 to 3.50. These SV Waldhof Mannheim vs Ingolstadt 04 betting tips suggest a low-scoring affair, given Ingolstadt's tight away defense (4 goals in 4 away games) and the history of draws in this fixture. Our prediction: based on the stats, SV Waldhof Mannheim is the pick to win, but the draw is a real possibility. A 1-0 or 2-1 home win looks the most likely outcome.