Raith Rovers - Inverness CT prediction 24/10/2026

Raith Rovers take on Inverness CT on October 24, 2026, in the Scottish Championship. Our Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT prediction gives the home side a 40% win probability, with a draw at 35% and an away win at 25%. The odds and recent head-to-head record point to a tight contest, but Raith Rovers hold a slight edge.

Team Form

Raith Rovers come into this match with a mixed recent record: D, W, W, L, D in their last five outings. A goalless draw at Partick Thistle and a 1-1 at Stenhousemuir showed resilience, but a 2-0 home defeat against Livingston exposed weaknesses. They did beat Queens Park 2-0 at home and Greenock Morton 2-1 away, so they are capable of scoring.

Inverness CT's last five matches read W, L, W, W, D. They recorded solid 2-0 wins over Arbroath and Greenock Morton at home, and also beat Stenhousemuir 2-0. A 2-1 loss at Queens Park and a 2-2 draw at Livingston highlight some vulnerability on the road. Overall, Inverness CT have picked up 10 points from their last five games, compared to Raith Rovers' 8.

Head-to-Head Record

The all-time head-to-head between these two sides shows Inverness CT with 9 wins, Raith Rovers with 4, and 7 draws. However, recent meetings tell a different story. The last two encounters both went to Raith Rovers: a 2-0 away win on Sep 5, 2026, and a 4-1 home thrashing on Apr 5, 2026. Before that, Inverness CT had won three in a row, including a 2-3 away victory in January 2024. The head-to-head data suggests the visitors can't be written off, but current momentum belongs to Raith Rovers.

League Table Positions

Raith Rovers sit 2nd in the Championship with 21 points from 11 games (6 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). Their goal difference of +9 (16 scored, 7 conceded) is the best in the league. At home, however, they rank only 4th with 10 points from 5 matches.

Inverness CT are 4th with 16 points from 11 games (4 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses). Their away form is even weaker: 7th in the away table with just 5 points from 5 away matches (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses), conceding 8 goals on the road. This home/away split adds weight to the Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT prediction favoring the hosts.

Win Probability: Raith Rovers or Inverness CT?

We calculated win probabilities by combining bookmaker odds with recent form and league standings. The raw odds implied probabilities were almost even, with some books pricing a draw as low as 2.05, which skewed the average. After normalizing and adjusting for Raith Rovers' stronger overall season, home advantage and recent H2H wins, we arrive at: Raith Rovers win – 40%, draw – 35%, Inverness CT win – 25%.

Who will win this match? Based on the stats, Raith Rovers are the more likely winner, but a draw is a very real possibility. The win probability for the favorite reflects a match that could go either way, but the smart prediction leans toward the home side grinding out a result.

Odds & Match Prediction

Selected bookmaker odds for the 1X2 market:

• Raith Rovers: 2.52
• Draw: 2.78
• Inverness CT: 2.86