Ipswich Town - Nottingham Forest prediction 23/10/2026

Our Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest prediction looks ahead to the Premier League match on October 23, 2026 at Portman Road Stadium. Based on the latest form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, Nottingham Forest enters this match as the slight favorite with a 42% win probability, while Ipswich Town has a 35% chance and the draw sits at 23%.

Team Form

Ipswich Town's recent form has been inconsistent. Their last five results show two wins and three losses (L, W, L, L, W). In their most recent match on October 17, they lost 3-2 away to Manchester City. Before that, they beat Fulham 2-1 at home on October 10. Other recent results include a 1-0 loss at Everton and a 4-2 home defeat to Arsenal FC in the League Cup. They did manage a 3-2 win at Crystal Palace on September 12.

Nottingham Forest's form has also been mixed, with two losses, one win, and two draws in their last five (L, L, W, D, D). They lost 3-1 at Crystal Palace on October 11 and suffered a 1-0 home defeat to Coventry City on September 19. A bright spot was a 2-1 win at Aston Villa on September 12. They also drew 0-0 at home with Tottenham Hotspur and 2-2 away at Liverpool.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Nottingham Forest. In the last 13 meetings, Nottingham Forest has 9 wins, Ipswich Town has 2 wins, and there have been 2 draws. The most recent clash was a Premier League match on March 15, 2025, where Nottingham Forest won 4-2 at Portman Road. Earlier in 2025, they drew 1-1 in the FA Cup. Nottingham Forest also won the Premier League fixture 1-0 at home on November 30, 2024. The last Ipswich Town home win in this fixture dates back further in the record.

League Table Positions

In the Premier League standings, Ipswich Town sits 10th with 9 points from 7 matches (3 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses). They have scored 11 goals and conceded 15. At home, they are 8th with 6 points from 3 games (2 wins, 1 loss), scoring 4 and conceding 4. Nottingham Forest's position is not listed in the top 12 of the provided overall standings, but their away form shows they are capable of getting results against strong sides like Liverpool and Aston Villa.

Win Probability: Ipswich Town or Nottingham Forest?

Who will win this match? We calculate the win probability based on odds, form, and the head-to-head record. The bookmakers' average odds imply a close contest. By taking the inverse of the best available odds (home 3.15, draw 3.65, away 2.36) and normalizing to remove the margin, we get a raw probability. We then adjust for Ipswich Town's home advantage (2 wins in 3 home games) and Nottingham Forest's strong H2H dominance (9 wins in 13 matches). The final probabilities are: Ipswich Town win 35%, draw 23%, Nottingham Forest win 42%. Nottingham Forest is the more likely winner, but this is a match with no clear dominant favorite.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available 1X2 odds from bookmakers show Ipswich Town at 3.15, the draw at 3.65, and Nottingham Forest at 2.36. These odds suggest bookmakers see Nottingham Forest as the favorite, which aligns with our win probability assessment. Our betting tips for this match point to a low-scoring affair, given both teams' recent struggles for consistency. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is an away win for Nottingham Forest, but a draw is a real possibility.