MSK Kiryat Yam - Ironi Modiin prediction 17/09/2026

MSK Kiryat Yam vs Ironi Modiin prediction for the Liga Leumit match on Sep 17 at 16:00. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, MSK Kiryat Yam is the favorite with a 52% win probability. Ironi Modiin has a 23% chance, and the draw is at 25%.

Team Form

MSK Kiryat Yam comes into this match with a mixed run of results. Their last five league games show two wins and three losses (L, W, L, L, W). The most recent outing was a 4-2 defeat away to Hapoel Ironi Rishon LeZion on Sep 10. Before that, they recorded a big 5-0 home win against Hapoel Acre FC on Sep 06. The team has scored 15 goals in 5 matches this season but also conceded 10, which points to an open style of play.

Ironi Modiin's recent form is also patchy, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five (L, D, D, W, L). They lost 2-4 at home to Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv on Sep 10. Away from home, they have been harder to beat, with a 0-0 draw at MS Kafr Qasim and a 4-1 win at Hapoel Kfar Saba in their last two road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is short, with only two previous meetings. MSK Kiryat Yam has one win, there has been one draw, and Ironi Modiin is yet to win. The last match was a 0-0 draw when Ironi Modiin hosted MSK Kiryat Yam on Jan 09. The earlier fixture saw MSK Kiryat Yam win 3-2 at home on Sep 07, 2025. The H2H stats suggest tight contests, with MSK Kiryat Yam holding a slight edge.

League Table Positions

In the Liga Leumit standings, MSK Kiryat Yam sits 9th with 6 points from 5 matches. Ironi Modiin is 11th with 5 points from the same number of games. The gap is just one point, but MSK Kiryat Yam has a much better goal difference, having scored 15 and conceded 10, compared to Ironi Modiin's 7 scored and 8 conceded. Ironi Modiin's away form is decent, ranked 7th in the away table with 4 points from 2 games, while MSK Kiryat Yam's home record is not among the top 8 in the home standings.

Win Probability: MSK Kiryat Yam or Ironi Modiin?

Who will win this match? We calculate the win probability using the betting odds as a base, adjusted for form and H2H. The average bookmaker odds imply a 56% chance for a MSK Kiryat Yam win, but the actual probability is lower when we remove the margin. After normalizing and factoring in the teams' recent performances and the head-to-head advantage, MSK Kiryat Yam has a 52% chance of winning. The draw has a 25% probability, and Ironi Modiin has a 23% chance. The home team is the clear favorite, but the draw is a real possibility given Ironi Modiin's two recent away draws.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match, based on the selected 1X2 market, show MSK Kiryat Yam at 1.75, the draw at 4.03, and Ironi Modiin at 4.45. Other bookmakers offer a home win around 1.67-1.68, with the draw as low as 2.38. These odds confirm that bookmakers see MSK Kiryat Yam as the favorite. Our MSK Kiryat Yam vs Ironi Modiin prediction is a home win, but with Ironi Modiin's stubborn away form, a low-scoring game could be on the cards. The betting tips point to the home side having the edge, but the value might be in the draw market for cautious punters.