Irony Bet Shemesh - Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem prediction 23/09/2026

Our Irony Bet Shemesh vs Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem prediction looks at the League Alef match on Sep 23 at 13:00. Irony Bet Shemesh is the favorite with a 55% win probability, while Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem has a 20% chance. The draw sits at 25%. We base this on team form, head-to-head record, and the latest odds.

Team Form

Irony Bet Shemesh comes into this match without a win in their last five games, recording three draws and two losses. Their most recent result was a 2-2 draw away against Maccabi Ashdod on Sep 18. Before that, they drew 2-2 with Hapoel Herzliya in the Cup and lost 4-1 at home to MK Kfar Saba 1928. They have struggled to keep clean sheets but are finding the net.

Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem is in worse shape, losing all of their last five matches. On Sep 18, they lost 3-1 at home to FC Jerusalem. They also lost 3-1 away to Hapoel Herzliya and 2-0 at home to Dimona. The away team has conceded at least one goal in every recent game and looks short on confidence.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head record available between Irony Bet Shemesh and Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem. This will be a first meeting, so we rely on current form and league context for our Irony Bet Shemesh vs Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem prediction.

League Table Positions

Both teams compete in Israel's League Alef. While exact table positions are not provided, the recent results suggest Irony Bet Shemesh is in the lower mid-table, picking up draws. Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem appears to be near the bottom, given their five straight defeats. The home advantage gives Irony Bet Shemesh an extra edge in this fixture.

Win Probability: Irony Bet Shemesh or Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem?

We calculate the win probability for this match using the available odds and recent form. The bookmakers' odds show Irony Bet Shemesh as the clear favorite. Taking the inverse of the best available odds (1.62 for a home win, 2.38 for a draw, 4.20 for an away win) and normalizing to remove the margin gives us a base. We then adjust for the home team's slightly better form and home advantage. The final probabilities are: Irony Bet Shemesh win – 55%, draw – 25%, Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem win – 20%. Irony Bet Shemesh is the more likely winner, but the draw is a real possibility given their recent results.

Odds & Match Prediction

The odds for this match show a home win at 1.62 with one bookmaker and 2.20 with another. The draw is priced at 2.38 and 3.65, while an away win for Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem is at 4.20 and 4.33. These betting tips point to a low-scoring game where the home side should edge it. Based on the stats, our final Irony Bet Shemesh vs Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem prediction is a home win, but with caution. A 1-0 or 2-1 scoreline looks likely. The who will win question leans heavily toward Irony Bet Shemesh, but the value might be in the draw market given their three draws in five games.