Ittihad El Shorta - Egypt Insurance prediction 14/10/2026

Our Ittihad El Shorta vs Egypt Insurance prediction for this Second Division match on Oct 14 at 09:30 points to Egypt Insurance as the favorite with a 52% win probability. The home side has a 24% chance, and the draw sits at 24%. Keep reading for the full betting tips, team form, and head-to-head record.

Team Form

Ittihad El Shorta come into this match with mixed results. Their last five outings show two wins, two draws, and one loss. They drew 0-0 at home against Orange Sport FSI on Oct 7, and before that lost 4-1 away to Levels FC on Sep 30. A 2-1 away win over Masar in the Cup on Sep 27 was a bright spot, along with a 2-1 win at Nogoom El Mostakbal back in April. A 0-0 home draw with El Shams in the Cup on Sep 12 completes the recent picture.

Egypt Insurance are in much stronger form. They have four wins and one draw in their last five matches. On Oct 7 they won 4-0 away at Cascada SC, and on Sep 30 they beat Al Shanwani SC 4-1 at home. A 0-0 draw away to Ra Sporting Club on Sep 25 was followed by a 1-0 Cup win at Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat on Sep 21, and a 2-0 home win over Banha on Sep 16. The away side is clearly the team in better shape right now.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is limited to two recent Second Division meetings. Egypt Insurance have the edge with one win and one draw. The most recent match, on Feb 9, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw when Egypt Insurance were the home side. Earlier, on Jan 19, 2025, Egypt Insurance won 1-0 away at Ittihad El Shorta. So in two matches, Ittihad El Shorta have not managed a win, with one loss and one draw.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the overall league table provided, which lists teams like Masar on 19 points and Haras El Hodood on 18. This suggests both Ittihad El Shorta and Egypt Insurance are in the lower half of the Second Division standings. The available home and away table data also does not include either side, so a direct points comparison is not possible from the given stats. The form guide is a better indicator here, and it clearly favors Egypt Insurance.

Win Probability: Ittihad El Shorta or Egypt Insurance?

Based on the available odds, form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the win probability as follows: Egypt Insurance has a 52% chance to win, Ittihad El Shorta has a 24% chance, and the draw is at 24%. We used the bookmaker odds as a base - the best available prices are 4.70 for a home win, 3.10 for the draw, and 1.80 for an away win. After removing the margin, the implied probabilities strongly favor Egypt Insurance. Their excellent recent form (four wins in five) and the head-to-head advantage (one win, one draw) support this. Ittihad El Shorta's inconsistent results and failure to beat Egypt Insurance in two attempts lower their chances. Home advantage gives them some hope, but the numbers say Egypt Insurance are the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Egypt Insurance as the clear favorite. The best away win odds are 1.80, while Ittihad El Shorta can be backed at a high 4.70. The draw is priced around 3.10. These odds reflect the gap in recent performances. Our Ittihad El Shorta vs Egypt Insurance prediction is an away win, based on the stats. Egypt Insurance's attack has been firing, with eight goals in their last two league games, while Ittihad El Shorta have kept just one clean sheet in their last five. The 1-0 win for Egypt Insurance in the last meeting at this ground also points to a low-scoring away victory.