Bilje - Jadran Dekani prediction 06/10/2026

This Bilje vs Jadran Dekani prediction covers the 2 SNL match on October 6, 2026 at 11:00. The away team Jadran Dekani enters as the slight favorite with a 36% chance to win, while Bilje has a 28% probability, and the draw sits at 36%. The betting tips and analysis below are built on recent form, head-to-head record, league table positions, and bookmaker odds.

Team Form

Bilje comes into this game with an inconsistent run: L, L, W, W, L in their last five. They lost 3-1 away to Krsko, 2-0 at home to Jesenice, then beat NK Primorje Ajdovscina 3-2 away and Slovan Ljubljana 4-0 at home, before falling 4-1 away to NK Rudar Velenje. The two wins showed attacking potential, but three losses with eight goals conceded highlight defensive issues.

Jadran Dekani is undefeated in their last five: W, W, D, D, D. They recorded a 1-0 home win over Ilirija, a 2-1 away win against Krka, plus 0-0 draws with Beltinci, Tabor Sezana, and Krsko. The team has kept three clean sheets in that span, scoring three goals. Their defensive stability will be a key factor for this Bilje vs Jadran Dekani prediction.

Head-to-Head Record

Overall, Bilje dominates this head-to-head series with 7 wins, 6 draws, and only 3 wins for Jadran Dekani. Looking at the most recent five meetings, Bilje is unbeaten with 2 wins and 3 draws. The last two clashes ended in draws: 2-2 on Apr 18, 2026, and 0-0 on Oct 4, 2025. Earlier, Bilje won 4-2 on Mar 1, 2025, and 1-0 on Mar 11, 2023, plus a 2-2 draw in October 2023. This H2H record gives Bilje historical confidence despite current form.

League Table Positions

Both clubs are close in the 2 SNL standings. Bilje sits 10th with 12 points from 8 matches (4 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses) and a 15:17 goal difference. Jadran Dekani is 11th, also with 12 points from 8 games (3 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses) and a 6:4 goal difference. Bilje scores more but also concedes much more; Jadran Dekani has the better defensive record, which often matters in tight matchups like this one.

Win Probability: Bilje or Jadran Dekani?

This is a mandatory section of every prediction we write, and here our probability model yields: Bilje 28%, Draw 36%, Jadran Dekani 36%. We calculate these numbers starting from the inverse of the average bookmaker odds (normalized to remove the margin), then adjust for form and H2H records. The odds market gives a slight edge to Jadran Dekani (implied ~37%), and their undefeated run supports that. However, Bilje’s historical head-to-head supremacy and home factor raise their chances a bit from the raw odds. So, who will win this match? Jadran Dekani is the more likely outcome, but the draw carries almost the same probability.

Odds & Match Prediction

The 1X2 odds across different bookmakers for this match vary: Bilje win is priced between 3.30 and 3.63, the draw between 2.15 and 2.30 (with one outlier at 3.50), and Jadran Dekani win between 1.91 and 2.50. These numbers show the away team as the bookies' favorite. Based on the stats and probability analysis, our Bilje vs Jadran Dekani betting tip leans toward a draw or a narrow Jadran Dekani victory. A low-scoring game with under 2.5 goals fits both teams’ recent patterns.