Jadran Dekani - Ilirija prediction 25/09/2026

This Jadran Dekani vs Ilirija prediction covers the 2 SNL match on September 25, 2026, at 11:00. Based on the latest odds and team stats, Jadran Dekani has a 42% chance to win, a draw is at 30%, and Ilirija has a 28% probability. Read on for complete betting tips, head-to-head record, and team form.

Team Form

Jadran Dekani comes into this match with a mixed recent record: W, D, D, D, L in their last five games. Their most recent outing was a 2-1 away win against Krka on Sep 20, 2026. Before that, they had three straight draws and a 2-0 home loss to Jesenice. This form shows a team that is hard to beat but lacking a killer instinct, with only one win in five.

Ilirija's last five results are W, L, D, L, W. They won 2-0 at home against Krsko on Sep 19, but lost 3-1 to Jesenice away and 2-1 to Slovan Ljubljana on the road. At home, they have been solid, but away from home they have lost two of the last three. This away fragility will be a key factor in our Jadran Dekani vs Ilirija prediction.

Head-to-Head Record

In their 15 all-time meetings, Jadran Dekani has won 5, Ilirija 1, and there have been 9 draws. The recent H2H trend also favors draws and home wins. The last five matches: Ilirija 2-2 Jadran Dekani (Mar 2026), Jadran Dekani 3-1 Ilirija (Sep 2025), Ilirija 1-2 Jadran Dekani (Apr 2025), Jadran Dekani 0-0 Ilirija (Mar 2024), and Ilirija 1-0 Jadran Dekani (Aug 2023). The record clearly shows that Jadran Dekani has the upper hand historically and is tough to beat at home in this fixture.

League Table Positions

In the 2 SNL overall standings, Ilirija sits 3rd with 13 points from 7 matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), while Jadran Dekani is 11th with 9 points (2 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). However, the home and away splits reveal more: Jadran Dekani has played 4 home games with 1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss, while Ilirija's away record is 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses. So Jadran Dekani's home form is not stellar, but Ilirija struggles on the road, which is why the win probability tips the scale towards the home side.

Win Probability: Jadran Dekani or Ilirija?

After analyzing the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the following win probabilities: Jadran Dekani 42%, Draw 30%, Ilirija 28%. The bookmakers' opening odds (home 2.32, draw 3.10, away 2.70) imply a close contest, but when we adjust for the strong H2H home bias and Ilirija's poor away form, Jadran Dekani emerges as the most likely winner. Still, a draw is a very realistic outcome, as 9 of 15 previous meetings have ended level.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available 1X2 odds are: Jadran Dekani win at 2.32, Draw at 3.10, Ilirija win at 2.70. Bookmakers see Jadran Dekani as the favorite, and our analysis supports that with a 42% win probability. The betting tip here leans towards a home win or a draw, given the high draw rate in H2H and Jadran Dekani's recent string of draws. We predict a low-scoring match, possibly under 2.5 goals, considering Jadran Dekani's 5 goals scored and 4 conceded in 7 league games. This Jadran Dekani vs Ilirija prediction concludes that the home side is the safer bet.