Genk Women - KAA Gent Women prediction 25/09/2026

This Genk Women vs KAA Gent Women prediction answers the question many bettors are asking before the Sep 25 Super League Women match. Based on recent form, head-to-head data, and bookmaker odds, Genk Women is the favorite with a 51% win probability, while KAA Gent Women has a 24% chance to take the three points.

Team Form

Genk Women come into this game with a poor run: L, D, L, L, L in their last five. They drew 0-0 at home against Oud Heverlee Leuven Women on Sep 12, but lost 1-0 to Club Brugge Women and 4-0 to Anderlecht Women. Scoring has been a big problem - zero goals in three league matches this season.

KAA Gent Women are in even worse shape, losing five straight away matches: L, L, L, L, L. In their last three, they conceded 11 goals: 3-2 at Raal La Louviere Women, 0-2 home loss to Anderlecht Women, and a heavy 6-1 defeat at Oud Heverlee Leuven Women. The attack has managed only three goals while the defense has been leaking heavily.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, the H2H shows a slight away-team edge: home wins 19, draws 16, away wins 21. The last five meetings produced two Genk Women wins, two draws, and one KAA Gent Women victory. Most recently, KAA Gent Women beat Genk Women 2-0 on May 16, 2026, and a 2-2 draw at Genk Women on Apr 24. The Dec 20, 2025 clash ended 6-1 for Genk Women away at KAA Gent - a result that hints at high-scoring potential when these two meet.

League Table Positions

After three rounds, Genk Women sit 6th with 1 point (0-1-2, goals 0:5). They have the third-worst attack but a relatively stable defense compared to the bottom. KAA Gent Women are bottom in 8th with 0 points (0-0-3, goals 3:11). At home, Genk have a draw, while KAA Gent have lost both away matches, conceding 9 times.

Win Probability: Genk Women or KAA Gent Women?

We calculated the win probabilities using the odds and recent stats. Genk Women has a 51% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and KAA Gent Women has a 24% chance. The home side gets the edge thanks to playing at home, a slightly better defensive record, and the fact KAA Gent are extremely fragile on the road. Still, Genk's goal drought makes a draw a real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have set the 1X2 odds at: home win 1.75, draw 3.60, away win 3.70. This aligns with Genk Women as the clear favorite. The implied probabilities from the betting market closely match our own numbers. Based on the stats, our Genk Women vs KAA Gent Women prediction is a home win, but with low confidence because both teams are in a slump. A low-scoring game is likely, with under 2.5 goals the safer betting tip given Genk's scoring issues.