Ntugasaze - Kampala Capital City Authority prediction 13/10/2026

The Ntugasaze vs Kampala Capital City Authority prediction for the Uganda Premier League match on Oct 13 at 10:00 points to an away win. Based on recent form, league table positions, and head-to-head stats, Kampala Capital City Authority has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Ntugasaze has a 20% chance. This betting tips preview breaks down the key facts.

Team Form

Ntugasaze come into this match with poor recent results. Their last five matches show one win and four losses: W, L, L, L, L. The only victory was a 1-0 home win against Mbarara City FC on Oct 7. Before that, they suffered heavy defeats - 3-0 away to Vipers SC, 4-1 away to Bul FC, a 1-3 home loss to Maroons, and a 1-0 away loss to Blacks Power/Bukedea TC. They have conceded 11 goals in those five games.

Kampala Capital City Authority show much better form with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five: W, W, D, L, L. They just won 1-0 away at URA FC on Oct 9 and beat Kataka FC 1-0 at home on Sep 16. A 0-0 draw away to Kigezi Homeboys (Kabale Sharp) and losses to Express FC (2-0) and NEC Bugolobi (0-2) complete the picture. The away side has kept three clean sheets in those five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head record available for Ntugasaze vs Kampala Capital City Authority. The data shows zero home wins, zero draws, and zero away wins in previous meetings. This will be a fresh matchup, so form and league standings become even more important for this prediction.

League Table Positions

In the Uganda Premier League overall standings, Kampala Capital City Authority sit 10th with 7 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). They have scored only 2 goals and conceded 4. Ntugasaze are not in the top 12 of the overall table, which suggests they are lower down. The away standings show Kampala Capital City Authority in 6th place with 4 points from 3 away games (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss), scoring 1 and conceding 2. Ntugasaze's home form is not listed in the top 8, indicating struggles at home.

Win Probability: Ntugasaze or Kampala Capital City Authority?

Who will win this match? We calculate the win probability based on the odds, team form, and league positions. The bookmakers' average odds are around 5.90 for a Ntugasaze win, 2.15 for a draw, and 1.98 for a Kampala Capital City Authority win. After removing the bookmaker margin and adjusting for the strong away form of Kampala Capital City Authority and the poor home results of Ntugasaze, the true probabilities are: Ntugasaze win 20%, draw 25%, Kampala Capital City Authority win 55%. The away side is the clear favorite to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds for this match show Kampala Capital City Authority as the favorite. The best away win odds are around 1.48, while a home win for Ntugasaze can be backed at up to 6.88. The draw odds range from 2.15 to 3.63. Based on the stats, the Ntugasaze vs Kampala Capital City Authority prediction is an away win. Kampala Capital City Authority's defense looks solid on the road, and Ntugasaze have been leaking goals. A low-scoring away victory is the most likely match outcome.