Karaman Belediyespor - Kepez Spor Futbol AS prediction 16/09/2026

The Karaman Belediyespor vs Kepez Spor Futbol AS prediction for September 16, 2026, points to a tight Cup match in Turkey. Based on the latest odds and team form, Karaman Belediyespor enters as the slight favorite with a 45% win probability, while Kepez Spor Futbol AS has a 30% chance and the draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Karaman Belediyespor's recent form is mixed with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches (W, L, L, D, L). Their most recent outing was a 3-2 home victory against Beykoz Anadoluspor on April 25, 2026. Before that, they suffered a 5-4 away loss to Ankaraspor and a heavy 0-4 home defeat to Muglaspor. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 16 in these five games, showing defensive issues.

Kepez Spor Futbol AS is on a poor run with five straight losses (L, L, L, L, L). Their last match was a 0-2 home loss to Anadolu Universitesi on September 6, 2026. Earlier results include a 6-0 thrashing by Batman Petrolspor and a 2-4 home loss to Altinordu. They have scored just 4 goals and conceded 16 in this period, struggling at both ends.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met twice before, both in the 2 Lig. Kepez Spor Futbol AS holds the edge with one win and one draw. The most recent head-to-head was on January 18, 2026, when Kepez Spor Futbol AS won 4-0 away at Karaman Belediyespor. The first meeting on August 30, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw. Karaman Belediyespor has yet to beat Kepez Spor Futbol AS.

League Table Positions

No current league table data is available for this Cup match. Both teams compete in different tiers based on their recent history - Karaman Belediyespor in the 2 Lig and Kepez Spor Futbol AS also in the 2 Lig, though Kepez Spor Futbol AS's most recent match was in the 3 Lig. The lack of table data makes form and head-to-head the key indicators.

Win Probability: Karaman Belediyespor or Kepez Spor Futbol AS?

After calculating the chances, Karaman Belediyespor has a 45% win probability, the draw is at 25%, and Kepez Spor Futbol AS has a 30% chance. This is based on the average bookmaker odds, which imply a home win probability around 43%, adjusted slightly up for Karaman Belediyespor's slightly better recent form. The head-to-head favors Kepez Spor Futbol AS, which keeps their chances competitive, but their five-match losing streak lowers their win probability. The home advantage for Karaman Belediyespor also plays a role, though their defensive record tempers the favorite status.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varied odds for this Karaman Belediyespor vs Kepez Spor Futbol AS match. The 1X2 market shows home win odds ranging from 2.03 to 2.30, draw odds from 2.30 to 3.70, and away win odds from 2.80 to 3.10. The best available odds are 2.30 for a home win, 3.70 for the draw, and 3.10 for an away win. Based on the stats, bookmakers see Karaman Belediyespor as the favorite, but the odds suggest a close contest. Our prediction is a narrow home win, but the draw is a real possibility given the head-to-head record.