Novohrad Lucenec - KFC Komarno prediction 08/09/2026

The Novohrad Lucenec vs KFC Komarno prediction for the Slovakia Cup match on Sep 08, 2026 at 14:00 points to an away win. Based on the odds, head-to-head record and current form, KFC Komarno is the clear favorite with a 72% probability of winning.

Team Form

Novohrad Lucenec comes into this match with mixed results. In their last five games they have two wins, two losses and one draw. Their most recent match was a 1-1 home draw against Podkonice in the 3 Liga on Sep 05. Before that they lost 3-2 away to TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele and beat Cadca 3-1 at home. The home side has struggled for consistency, winning only two of their last five.

KFC Komarno has not won in their last five outings, recording four draws and one loss. They drew 0-0 at home with MFK Skalica on Sep 05 and 2-2 away at Dukla Banska Bystrica on Aug 29. Their only defeat in this run was a 2-1 loss at Zilina. Despite the lack of wins, Komarno plays in the higher-tier Super League and has been hard to beat.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met once before, also in the Cup. On Sep 18, 2019, KFC Komarno won 1-0 away at Novohrad Lucenec. The head-to-head record shows 0 wins for Novohrad Lucenec, 0 draws and 1 win for KFC Komarno. That single match gives the away side a psychological edge going into this fixture.

League Table Positions

Novohrad Lucenec plays in the 3 Liga, the third tier of Slovak football. KFC Komarno competes in the Super League, the top division. The gap in league level is a strong indicator of the quality difference between the two squads. Komarno faces tougher opponents week in and week out, which should give them a significant advantage in this Cup tie.

Win Probability: Novohrad Lucenec or KFC Komarno?

After analyzing the odds, team form, head-to-head record and the league gap, we calculate the win probability as follows: Novohrad Lucenec has a 15% chance of winning, the draw is at 13%, and KFC Komarno has a 72% chance. The odds from bookmakers heavily favor Komarno, with the best home win price at 21.00 and the away win as low as 1.05. The inverse of these odds, normalized, gives Komarno a dominant probability. The higher league level and the previous H2H win support this. Novohrad Lucenec's home advantage and occasional wins in the 3 Liga keep their chances at 15%, but an upset looks unlikely.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see KFC Komarno as the strong favorite. The odds for a home win range from 11.50 to 21.00, the draw is between 4.00 and 10.00, and an away win is priced from 1.05 to 1.27. These betting tips are based on the stats: Komarno's superior league status, the 1-0 head-to-head win in 2019, and Novohrad Lucenec's inconsistent form all point to an away victory. Our Novohrad Lucenec vs KFC Komarno prediction is a win for KFC Komarno, likely with a low total goals count given Komarno's recent draws.