Kolkheti Poti - Samtredia prediction 16/09/2026

Our Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia prediction for September 16, 2026, points to an away win in this Erovnuli 2 clash. The match kicks off at 13:00, and based on current form and head-to-head stats, Samtredia enters as the favorite with a 42% win probability. Kolkheti Poti has a 32% chance, while the draw sits at 26%.

Team Form

Kolkheti Poti's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches, they recorded one win, three draws, and one loss. Their most recent outing was a 1-1 draw away at Sioni Bolnisi on Sep 12. Before that, they beat Merani Martvili 2-0 at home on Sep 06. Overall, Kolkheti Poti has struggled to turn draws into wins, which is reflected in their league position.

Samtredia, on the other hand, is in fantastic form with five straight wins. They demolished Gareji 6-1 at home on Sep 12, beat Telavi 3-0 away on Sep 07, and also secured a 2-0 cup win against FC Iberia 1999. This winning streak shows they are scoring freely and defending well, making them a tough opponent for any team in the league.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Kolkheti Poti and Samtredia favors the away side. In four previous meetings, Samtredia has one win, while three matches ended in draws. Kolkheti Poti has never beaten Samtredia. Their last encounter on Jun 13, 2026, finished 2-2 at Samtredia. Earlier this season, on Apr 22, 2026, Samtredia won 3-1 at Kolkheti Poti. The historical data clearly shows Samtredia knows how to get results in this fixture.

League Table Positions

Looking at the Erovnuli 2 standings, Samtredia is 5th with 34 points from 25 matches, while Kolkheti Poti sits 10th with 24 points. The 10-point gap highlights the difference in quality this season. At home, Kolkheti Poti is 8th with 19 points from 13 games, having lost only twice. Samtredia's away record is 4th best, with 13 points from 13 road games. Despite Kolkheti Poti's decent home form, Samtredia's overall superiority and current momentum give them the edge.

Win Probability: Kolkheti Poti or Samtredia?

Who will win this match? We calculate the win probability based on odds, form, and league positions. Samtredia has a 42% chance to win, Kolkheti Poti has a 32% chance, and the draw is at 26%. The bookmakers' odds, combined with Samtredia's five-match winning streak and their unbeaten head-to-head record against Kolkheti Poti, support the away team as the likely winner. Kolkheti Poti's home resilience keeps their chances respectable, but the stats point to an away victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds for this Erovnuli 2 match show a tight contest. One bookmaker offers 2.67 for a Kolkheti Poti win, 3.56 for the draw, and 2.61 for a Samtredia win. Another lists 2.52, 2.15, and 2.98, while a third has 2.50, 2.25, and 3.00. The variation in odds reflects the competitive nature of this fixture, but the general market sees Samtredia as a slight favorite. Our Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia prediction is an away win, considering the visitors' red-hot form and strong head-to-head record.