Slavija Sarajevo - Kozara Gradiska prediction 23/09/2026

Slavija Sarajevo vs Kozara Gradiska prediction for the 1st League. RS match on September 23, 2026. Slavija Sarajevo is the favorite with a 52% win probability, based on the latest odds and head-to-head record. The match kicks off at 11:00 local time in Bosnia-Herzegovina.

Team Form

Slavija Sarajevo comes into this match with poor recent form. Their last five results are L, L, W, L, L. They lost 1-0 away to Omarska on Sep 20 and 3-0 away to Drina Zvornik on Sep 5. Their only win in this stretch was a 2-1 home victory against Sutjeska Foca on Sep 2.

Kozara Gradiska's form is slightly better: W, D, L, D, L. They won 1-0 at home against Velez Nevesinje on Sep 19 and drew 0-0 away to FK Majevica Lopare on Sep 2. However, they have struggled on the road, with two losses and two draws in their last five away matches.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met once before in our data. Slavija Sarajevo won that match 5-2 at home on April 19, 2025, in the 1st League. RS. Slavija Sarajevo leads the head-to-head with 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses for Kozara Gradiska.

League Table Positions

Both teams compete in the 1st League. RS in Bosnia-Herzegovina. Specific table positions and points are not available in the current data, but Slavija Sarajevo's home advantage and historical win over Kozara Gradiska give them a slight edge.

Win Probability: Slavija Sarajevo or Kozara Gradiska?

Based on the odds, form, and head-to-head record, here is the win probability for this match: Slavija Sarajevo has a 52% chance to win, the draw is at 28%, and Kozara Gradiska has a 20% chance. The total equals 100%. We calculated this by taking the inverse of the best available odds (home 1.88, draw 2.15, away 3.40), normalizing to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusting for Slavija Sarajevo's strong head-to-head win and home field, balanced against their poor recent form. Kozara Gradiska's low away win rate also supports a lower probability for an away victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a competitive match. The best odds available are: Slavija Sarajevo win at 1.88, draw at 2.15, and Kozara Gradiska win at 3.40. Other bookies offer home odds between 1.91 and 2.55, showing some disagreement but generally favoring the home side. Our Slavija Sarajevo vs Kozara Gradiska prediction is a home win, based on the stats and the 52% probability. The draw is the second most likely outcome. For betting tips, the home win odds offer value relative to the calculated probability.