KTP - JaPS prediction 11/09/2026

The KTP vs JaPS prediction for September 11, 2026 points to a clear home favorite. This Ykkosliiga match kicks off at 15:30, and based on the stats, KTP has a 68% chance to win, the draw sits at 21%, and JaPS has an 11% chance.

Team Form

KTP comes into this match in perfect shape. Their last five results are all wins: a 2-0 away victory at JIPPO, a 2-1 home win against Haka, a 1-0 away win at EIF, a 2-1 home win over KäPa Kapylan Pallo, and a 1-0 away win at Klubi 04. That is five straight wins with a solid defense, conceding only two goals in that run.

JaPS form is much more mixed. Their last five matches show one draw, three losses, and one win. They drew 0-0 at home with KäPa Kapylan Pallo, lost 3-0 away to PK-35 Vantaa, lost 1-2 at home to Haka, beat Mikkelin Palloilijat 1-0 at home, and lost 1-0 away to JIPPO. Away from home, JaPS has struggled, losing three of the last four on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors KTP. In the last 10 meetings across all competitions, KTP has 6 wins, JaPS has 1 win, and there have been 3 draws. The most recent match was on July 10, 2026, when KTP beat JaPS 4-1 at home. Earlier in the 2026 season, on May 16, KTP won 1-0 away at JaPS. The last time JaPS avoided defeat against KTP was a 1-1 draw back in January 2024. KTP has scored 14 goals in the last five H2H matches, while JaPS managed only 4.

League Table Positions

KTP sits at the top of the Ykkosliiga table with 51 points from 22 matches (16 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses). They have scored 38 goals and conceded 21. JaPS is in 5th place with 32 points (10 wins, 2 draws, 10 losses), scoring 21 and conceding 31. The gap is 19 points. At home, KTP has the best record in the league: 8 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses. JaPS away form is mid-table: 4 wins, 1 draw, 6 losses, with a negative goal difference of 11 scored and 21 conceded.

Win Probability: KTP or JaPS?

Based on the odds, form, head-to-head record, and league positions, the win probability for this match is: KTP 68%, draw 21%, JaPS 11%. The bookmakers' odds (home win around 1.37) imply a KTP win probability near 70% after removing the margin. KTP's five-match winning streak, dominant H2H record (6 wins in 10), and top spot in the table all support this. JaPS has lost three of their last five and has a poor away record. The draw gets a 21% chance because JaPS did manage one draw in their last five, and KTP has drawn 3 times this season. Still, the question of who will win KTP vs JaPS has a clear answer: KTP is the strong favorite.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds for this Ykkosliiga match show KTP as the clear favorite. One bookmaker lists a home win at 1.37, a draw at 2.58, and an away win at 5.50. Another offers 1.36 for KTP, 2.50 for the draw, and 5.80 for JaPS. These betting tips align with the stats: a home win is the most likely outcome. Our KTP vs JaPS prediction is a comfortable win for the league leaders, with a probable correct score in the 2-0 or 3-1 range based on recent H2H and form. JaPS has struggled to score on the road, and KTP's defense has been tight. The match outcome looks set for a home victory.