KuPS - Shamrock Rovers prediction 27/08/2026

KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers prediction for the UEFA Conference League Qualification match on August 27, 2026. The game kicks off at 15:00, and based on the stats, KuPS is the favorite with a 50% win probability. The draw sits at 28%, and Shamrock Rovers has a 22% chance. Read on for full betting tips, team form, and head-to-head analysis.

Team Form

KuPS comes into this match with mixed results. In their last five games, they recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss. The most recent was a 2-4 home defeat against Mariehamn in Veikkausliiga on Aug 23. Before that, they drew 1-1 away to Shamrock Rovers in the first leg of this tie. Earlier wins against Lahti (2-1) and Gnistan (1-0) showed they can grind out results, but the loss to Mariehamn raises questions about their defensive solidity.

Shamrock Rovers also have a similar recent record: two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five. They drew 1-1 at home against KuPS in the first leg, then drew 2-2 away to St. Patricks Athletic in the FAI Cup. A 3-2 home win over Dundalk and a 2-1 win against Ararat-Armenia in Champions League qualifying highlight their attacking threat, but a 0-0 draw at Drogheda United shows they can be held. Overall, both teams are evenly matched on form.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met only once before, in the first leg of this tie on Aug 20, 2026. That match ended in a 1-1 draw, with Shamrock Rovers as the home team. The head-to-head record stands at 0 wins for KuPS, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Shamrock Rovers. The single result suggests a tight contest, and with an away goal for KuPS, they hold a slight advantage going into this second leg.

Win Probability: KuPS or Shamrock Rovers?

We calculate the win probability based on the latest odds, recent form, and the head-to-head record. The bookmakers' odds imply a home win chance of around 48%, but after adjusting for KuPS's home advantage and the first-leg draw, we give KuPS a 50% probability of winning. The draw has a 28% chance, and Shamrock Rovers an away win probability of 22%. So, KuPS is the more likely winner, but the match is far from a sure thing.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match are: KuPS win at 2.03, draw at 3.27, and Shamrock Rovers win at 4.57. Bookmakers see KuPS as the clear favorite, but the draw odds are relatively low, reflecting the close nature of the tie. Our KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers prediction is a home win, but with caution - a low-scoring game could easily end in another draw. For betting tips, the under 2.5 goals market might be worth a look given the first-leg result and both teams' recent form.