Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic - Guangdong Mingtu prediction 11/10/2026

The Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Guangdong Mingtu prediction for October 11, 2026, points to a home win in China. League Two. Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic enters this match as the favorite with a 55% win probability, while Guangdong Mingtu has a 20% chance and the draw sits at 25%. The match kicks off at 04:00 at Lanzhou Olympic Center Stadium.

Team Form

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic's recent form shows two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five matches. They beat Wenzhou FC 2-0 and Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 2-1, but lost to Hubei Istar 2-0 and Beijing Guoan 3-1 in the FA Cup. A 0-0 draw with Xian Chongde Ronghai rounds out the picture. At home, they have been strong, winning against Wenzhou FC in their last outing at Lanzhou Olympic Center Stadium.

Guangdong Mingtu's form reads two wins, two draws, and one loss. They drew 1-1 with Dalian Yingbo B and 0-0 with Changchun Xidu, beat Shanghai Segenda 1-0, lost 1-0 to Hangzhou Linping Wuyue, and crushed Wuhan Three Towns B 3-0. Their away form is mixed, with a draw and a loss in the last two road games.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic. In two previous meetings, Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic has won both. The most recent clash on September 27, 2025, saw Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic win 2-1 away at Guangdong Mingtu. Earlier, on August 22, 2025, Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic won 3-0 at home. Guangdong Mingtu has yet to score a win or even a draw in this fixture.

League Table Positions

Both teams compete in China. League Two. While exact table positions and points are not available in the current data, the form guide and head-to-head dominance suggest Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic holds a stronger position. The home advantage at the 60,000-capacity Lanzhou Olympic Center Stadium adds further weight to their favorite status.

Win Probability: Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic or Guangdong Mingtu?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the win probability as follows: Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Guangdong Mingtu has a 20% chance. The odds imply a tight match, but Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic's perfect H2H record and home form tip the scales. Guangdong Mingtu's recent draws show they can be stubborn, but beating Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic away looks a tough ask.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varied odds for this China. League Two match. The 1X2 market shows home win odds around 2.65, draw odds as low as 1.91, and away win odds up to 4.50. The low draw odds reflect the expectation of a close contest. However, the Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Guangdong Mingtu prediction based on the stats is a home win. The H2H dominance and home field make Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic the smart pick. A draw is a real possibility given Guangdong Mingtu's recent results, but the value lies with the home side.