Larissa - Panserraikos prediction 18/10/2026

On October 18, 2026, Larissa hosts Panserraikos in a Super League 2 match in Greece. This Larissa vs Panserraikos prediction gives the home side a 48% win probability, making them the slight favorite ahead of this clash.

Team Form

Larissa comes into this match with a mixed run of results. In their last five outings, they have recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss. Their most recent match was a 1-0 away defeat against Marko on October 11. Before that, they drew 2-2 with Niki Volou and beat PAOK B 1-0 at home. A 4-0 away win at Pas Pyrgos 1968 and a 1-1 cup draw at Kalamata complete the picture. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 4 in their six league games this season.

Panserraikos has also had an inconsistent spell. Their last five results show two wins, one draw, and two losses. They beat Nestos Chrisoupolis 2-1 at home on October 10. A 1-1 draw at Panthrakikos and a 4-1 home win over Olympiacos Piraeus B preceded that. However, they lost 2-1 at PAE Athens Kallithea and suffered a heavy 8-1 cup defeat at AEK Athens. In the league, they have 9 goals scored and 6 conceded.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is tight. In their last five meetings across all competitions, Larissa has won twice, Panserraikos once, and there have been two draws. The most recent match was on May 2, 2026, when Panserraikos and Larissa drew 1-1. Larissa lost 1-0 at home to Panserraikos on April 26, 2026, but won the previous two league encounters. A 1-1 friendly draw in August 2025 rounds off the recent H2H history.

League Table Positions

Larissa sits 4th in the Super League 2 overall standings with 11 points from 6 matches. They have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. At home, they are 6th with 7 points from 3 games, remaining unbeaten with 2 wins and a draw. Panserraikos is right behind in 5th place with 10 points from 6 games. Their away form is not listed in the top eight, but their overall record shows 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. The gap between the teams is just one point, making this a crucial match for both.

Win Probability: Larissa or Panserraikos?

Based on the available odds, form, and standings, we calculate the win probability as follows: Larissa has a 48% chance to win, the draw is at 32%, and Panserraikos has a 20% chance. The odds imply a tight contest, with the bookmakers' average giving Larissa around 2.78, the draw at 1.97, and Panserraikos at 4.07. Removing the margin, the draw carries a high implied probability, but Larissa's home advantage and slightly better league position tip the balance. Panserraikos has a perfect home record but has been less convincing on the road, which lowers their chances. The most likely outcome is a narrow home win, but a draw is a very real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced this match closely. The best odds available show Larissa at 2.82, the draw at 1.95, and Panserraikos at 4.15. Another bookmaker offers 2.75 for a home win, 2.00 for the draw, and 4.00 for the away win. These betting tips are based on the stats: Larissa is the favorite, but the low draw odds suggest the market expects a tight game. Our Larissa vs Panserraikos prediction is a home win, but the draw is a strong alternative. A 1-0 or 2-1 scoreline for Larissa fits the data, while a 1-1 draw cannot be ruled out.