Cadiz - Las Palmas prediction 12/09/2026

Our Cadiz vs Las Palmas prediction for the Segunda match on Sep 12 at 14:15 is ready. The game at Estadio Ramón de Carranza looks tight, but Cadiz enters as the slight favorite with a 42% win probability. Las Palmas has a 33% chance, and the draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Cadiz comes into this match with a run of three straight draws in Segunda: 1-1 vs Valladolid, 2-2 at Eldense, and 0-0 vs Celta Vigo B. Before that, they lost 1-3 to Las Palmas in a Friendly Clubs game and beat Granada CF 2-0. Their last five results read D, D, D, L, W.

Las Palmas has been more mixed. They drew 0-0 vs Leganes, lost 2-5 at Girona, won 2-0 at AD Ceuta, beat Albacete 2-1, and won 3-1 at Cadiz in a Friendly Clubs match. Their last five are D, L, W, W, W. Away form is a slight concern after the heavy loss to Girona.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides shows 7 wins for Cadiz, 4 draws, and 5 wins for Las Palmas. In the most recent meetings, Las Palmas has had the upper hand. They won 3-1 at Cadiz in a Friendly Clubs match on Aug 08, 2026, and also won 2-1 at Cadiz in Segunda on Apr 27, 2026. Cadiz lost 0-1 at Las Palmas in Segunda on Oct 05, 2025. The last win for Cadiz was a 2-1 Friendly Clubs result on Jul 24, 2025.

League Table Positions

In the overall Segunda standings, Las Palmas sits 9th with 7 points from 4 games (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Cadiz is not in the top 12 shown, which suggests a lower position. At home, Las Palmas is 5th with 4 points from 2 games. Cadiz's home form is not listed in the top 8, but their recent home draws indicate they are tough to beat at Estadio Ramón de Carranza. The table gap is small, making this a close contest.

Win Probability: Cadiz or Las Palmas?

Based on the odds, form, and head-to-head stats, we calculate the win probability as follows: Cadiz has a 42% chance, the draw is at 25%, and Las Palmas has a 33% chance. The bookmakers' average odds (home 2.52, draw 2.42, away 2.96) imply a tight match, and we adjusted for Cadiz's home advantage and Las Palmas's recent H2H success. The total adds up to 100%. Cadiz is the more likely winner, but only by a small margin.

Odds & Match Prediction

The odds for this match show Cadiz as the favorite. The best home win odds are around 2.64, the draw is 2.08, and an away win for Las Palmas is 2.84. Other bookmakers offer similar lines, with home odds as low as 2.45. Our Cadiz vs Las Palmas prediction is a home win, but the draw is a real possibility given Cadiz's three straight ties. Betting tips: the under 2.5 goals market could be worth a look, as Cadiz games have been low-scoring lately.