Eastern Athletic U22 - Lee Man Warriors U22 prediction 30/09/2026

The Eastern Athletic U22 vs Lee Man Warriors U22 prediction for September 30, 2026 looks at a Premier League U22 match where Lee Man Warriors U22 enters as the favorite. Based on the odds, head-to-head record, and recent form, Lee Man Warriors U22 has a 45% win probability, while Eastern Athletic U22 sits at 30%, and the draw is at 25%.

Team Form

Eastern Athletic U22 comes into this match with poor form, losing four of their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a 0-2 home loss to Kitchee U22 on Sep 9. Before that, they lost 2-3 away to Lee Man Warriors U22, 0-3 at home to Kitchee U22, and 2-3 away to Wofoo Tai Po U22. The only win in this stretch was a 2-1 home result against Kowloon City U22 on Apr 8.

Lee Man Warriors U22 shows mixed form with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five. They suffered a heavy 0-4 away defeat to Wofoo Tai Po U22 on Sep 9. Earlier results include a 1-1 home draw with Hong Kong U22, a 3-2 home win over Eastern Athletic U22, a 0-0 away draw at Eastern District U22, and a 0-2 home loss to Southern District U22.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last six head-to-head meetings, Lee Man Warriors U22 has a clear edge with 4 wins, while Eastern Athletic U22 has 2 wins, and there have been no draws. The most recent match was on May 6, 2026, where Lee Man Warriors U22 won 3-2 at home. Eastern Athletic U22's last win in this fixture came on May 7, 2025, a 1-0 away victory. The overall goal trend in this matchup favors Lee Man Warriors U22, who have outscored Eastern Athletic U22 in four of the six encounters.

League Table Positions

Both teams compete in the Hong Kong Premier League U22. Specific league table positions and points are not available in the current data, but the recent form and head-to-head record suggest Lee Man Warriors U22 has been the more consistent side in this matchup. Eastern Athletic U22's run of four losses in five games points to a team struggling near the lower end of the standings.

Win Probability: Eastern Athletic U22 or Lee Man Warriors U22?

Who will win this match? The win probability calculation gives Lee Man Warriors U22 a 45% chance, Eastern Athletic U22 a 30% chance, and the draw a 25% chance. This is based on the betting odds, where the inverse of the average odds (home 2.40, draw 2.50, away 3.23) implies a bookmaker margin-adjusted probability favoring Lee Man Warriors U22. The head-to-head record of 4 wins for Lee Man Warriors U22 in the last 6 meetings supports this. Eastern Athletic U22's poor recent form (four losses in five) lowers their chances, while Lee Man Warriors U22's mixed form keeps the draw probability relatively high.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds for this match show Eastern Athletic U22 at 2.40, the draw at 2.50, and Lee Man Warriors U22 at 3.25 (some bookmakers offer 3.20). Bookmakers see this as a fairly open contest, with the home side slightly favored in the 1X2 market. However, the head-to-head stats and recent meetings point to an away win as a strong possibility. Our Eastern Athletic U22 vs Lee Man Warriors U22 prediction is that Lee Man Warriors U22 has the better chance to take all three points, but a draw is a realistic outcome given both teams' recent inconsistencies. For betting tips, the draw or away win double chance looks like a sensible option based on the stats.