Levadia Tallinn II - JK Nomme Kalju II prediction 14/10/2026

The Levadia Tallinn II vs JK Nomme Kalju II prediction for October 14, 2026, points to a home win in this Esiliiga matchup. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Levadia Tallinn II enters the match as the clear favorite with a 62% win probability. The game kicks off at 13:00 local time.

Team Form

Levadia Tallinn II comes into this match with strong recent results. Their last five games show three wins, one draw, and one loss. They scored 14 goals in those matches, including a 6-2 home victory over Flora Tallinn II and a 5-1 away win against FC Tallinn. The only setback was a 4-2 defeat at FC Maardu.

JK Nomme Kalju II is struggling for consistency. Their form guide reads four losses and just one win in the last five outings. They conceded 12 goals during this run, with a heavy 5-1 home loss to Flora Tallinn II and a 3-0 away defeat at Tartu JK Welco Elekter. The lone bright spot was a 2-0 win at FC Tallinn.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is tight. In the last seven meetings, Levadia Tallinn II has 3 wins, JK Nomme Kalju II has 2 wins, and there have been 2 draws. The most recent clash on July 18, 2026, saw Levadia Tallinn II win 2-0 away from home. Earlier in the 2026 season, JK Nomme Kalju II won 1-0, and Levadia Tallinn II won 2-0 at home. Two matches in 2025 ended in draws, including a 3-3 thriller.

League Table Positions

Levadia Tallinn II sits 5th in the Esiliiga standings with 44 points from 30 matches. They have a positive goal difference of +6, scoring 61 and conceding 55. JK Nomme Kalju II is 10th with 23 points from 31 games. They have scored 38 goals and conceded 79, leaving them with a -41 goal difference. The 21-point gap between the sides reflects their contrasting seasons.

Win Probability: Levadia Tallinn II or JK Nomme Kalju II?

After analyzing all available data, the win probability for this match is: Levadia Tallinn II 62%, draw 22%, JK Nomme Kalju II 16%. These percentages are calculated from the bookmaker odds, which heavily favor the home side, and then adjusted for the teams' recent form and league positions. Levadia Tallinn II's superior attack, home advantage, and JK Nomme Kalju II's poor defensive record make the home win the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Levadia Tallinn II as the strong favorite. The best available odds for a home win are around 1.33, while the draw and an away win are both priced higher, with some bookies offering 5.50 for each. Based on the stats, our Levadia Tallinn II vs JK Nomme Kalju II prediction is a home victory. The form gap and league table positions suggest Levadia Tallinn II will have too much quality for their opponents.