Levadia Tallinn II - Tartu JK Welco Elekter prediction 10/09/2026

Levadia Tallinn II vs Tartu JK Welco Elekter prediction for the Esiliiga match on Sep 10, 2026. The game kicks off at 16:00. Tartu JK Welco Elekter is the favorite with a 58% win probability, while Levadia Tallinn II has 22% chance and the draw sits at 20%.

Team Form

Levadia Tallinn II has been inconsistent in the last five matches. Their record shows two wins and three losses: a 6-2 home win over Flora Tallinn II, a 2-4 away defeat to FC Maardu, a 2-1 home win against FC Tallinn, a 2-4 away loss to Tartu JK Welco Elekter, and a 0-5 away defeat to Viimsi MRJK. The team scored 12 goals and conceded 16 in that period, averaging 2.4 goals for and 3.2 against.

Tartu JK Welco Elekter comes into this match with strong form. Their last five results: a 1-1 away draw with Tallinna Kalev, a 1-3 home loss to Viimsi MRJK, a 4-2 away win over JK Nomme Kalju 2, a 4-2 home win against Levadia Tallinn II, and a 2-1 home win over Flora Tallinn II. That gives three wins, one draw, and one loss. They scored 12 goals and conceded 9, showing solid attacking numbers.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record between Levadia Tallinn II and Tartu JK Welco Elekter is close: 11 wins for Levadia, 12 for Tartu, and 5 draws. However, recent meetings heavily favor Tartu JK Welco Elekter. In the last five encounters, Tartu won four and drew one. The most recent match on Aug 20, 2026 saw Tartu win 4-2 at home. Before that, on Jun 18, 2026, Tartu won 3-1 away. The trend is clear: Tartu has dominated the recent H2H series.

League Table Positions

Tartu JK Welco Elekter sits at the top of the Esiliiga table with 55 points from 27 matches (17 wins, 4 draws, 6 losses). They have scored 76 goals and conceded 39. Levadia Tallinn II is in 6th place with 37 points (12 wins, 1 draw, 14 losses), scoring 55 and conceding 54. The 18-point gap reflects the difference in consistency. At home, Levadia Tallinn II is 5th with 22 points from 14 games (7 wins, 1 draw, 6 losses). Tartu is the best away team in the league, ranking 1st with 28 points from 14 away matches (9 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses).

Win Probability: Levadia Tallinn II or Tartu JK Welco Elekter?

Based on the available odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league standings, we calculate the following win probabilities: Tartu JK Welco Elekter has a 58% chance to win, Levadia Tallinn II has a 22% chance, and the draw has a 20% probability. The odds implied a base probability of roughly 55% for an away win, which we adjusted upward due to Tartu's dominant recent H2H (4 wins in last 5) and their strong away form. Levadia's home advantage is not enough to offset the gap in quality and current momentum. The most likely match outcome is an away win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have set the odds as follows: home win for Levadia Tallinn II at 3.75, a draw at 4.15, and an away win for Tartu JK Welco Elekter at 1.62. These odds clearly mark Tartu as the favorite. Our Levadia Tallinn II vs Tartu JK Welco Elekter prediction aligns with the market: based on the stats, Tartu JK Welco Elekter is the team more likely to win. The recent form and head-to-head data support betting on the away side. However, always consider the risks and bet responsibly.