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Ogre United - Liepajas Metalurgs prediction 11/09/2026

Latvia · Virsliga·

Match info

Competição
Virsliga · Latvia
Início

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Ogre United

Grobinas SCOgre United32DVirsliga

Ogre UnitedBFC Daugavpils12DVirsliga

Ogre UnitedFK Progress Super Nova10VVirsliga

AudaOgre United10DVirsliga

Ogre UnitedLiepajas Metalurgs22EVirsliga
Liepajas Metalurgs

Liepajas MetalurgsJelgava30VVirsliga

Liepajas MetalurgsAuda23DVirsliga

Liepajas MetalurgsBFC Daugavpils00EVirsliga

Ogre UnitedLiepajas Metalurgs22EVirsliga

Rigas Futbola SkolaLiepajas Metalurgs00EVirsliga

Confronto direto

4 confrontos
Ogre United 0Empates 13 Liepajas Metalurgs

Ogre UnitedLiepajas Metalurgs22Virsliga

Liepajas MetalurgsOgre United40Virsliga

Liepajas MetalurgsOgre United41Virsliga

Ogre UnitedLiepajas Metalurgs01Virsliga

Virsliga 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Rigas Futbola Skola33265281:2483
2Riga FC33247290:3179
3Auda33197753:3464
4Liepajas Metalurgs331371346:4646
5BFC Daugavpils331291239:3745
6FK Progress Super Nova331151732:4738
7Jelgava33881734:5632
8Grobinas SC336111625:5629
9Tukums 200033591944:6524
10Ogre United33462333:8118

The Ogre United vs Liepajas Metalurgs prediction for September 11, 2026, points to an away win in the Virsliga. The match kicks off at 14:00, and based on the stats, Liepajas Metalurgs is the clear favorite with a 65% win probability. Ogre United has struggled all season, and the head-to-head record strongly backs the visitors.

Team Form

Ogre United comes into this match in poor shape. Their last five results are L, L, L, L, D. They lost 2-1 at Tukums 2000 on Sep 05, fell 3-0 at home to Rigas Futbola Skola on Aug 30, and were beaten 3-2 at home by Jelgava on Aug 22. The only point in that run was a 0-0 draw at Auda on Aug 03. They have conceded 73 goals in 28 league matches, the worst defensive record in the division.

Liepajas Metalurgs has a mixed recent form of W, L, W, W, L. They beat Riga FC 3-2 at home on Aug 31, lost 1-0 at Auda on Aug 25, and won 3-1 at home against Grobinas SC on Aug 21. Away from home, they have 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses this season, but they face the league's bottom side here.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record is one-sided. In three previous meetings, Liepajas Metalurgs has won all three, scoring 9 goals and conceding just 1. The most recent match was on Jun 30, 2026, a 4-0 home win for Liepajas Metalurgs. Earlier in the season, they won 4-1 at home on May 12, and on Mar 20, they beat Ogre United 1-0 away. Ogre United has never even managed a draw against this opponent.

League Table Positions

Ogre United sits bottom of the Virsliga table in 10th place with 14 points from 28 matches. They have only 3 wins all season. Liepajas Metalurgs is 4th with 40 points from 28 games, 26 points ahead of their hosts. The gap in quality is huge, and the standings reflect that.

Win Probability: Ogre United or Liepajas Metalurgs?

Based on the data, the win probability for this match is clear. Liepajas Metalurgs has a 65% chance to win. The draw is at 22%, and Ogre United has a 13% chance. This calculation uses the head-to-head dominance, the 26-point gap in the league table, and the recent form of both teams. Ogre United's last five games show no wins, while Liepajas Metalurgs has won three of their last five. The away team is the strong favorite to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds are not available in the data, but bookmakers would likely price Liepajas Metalurgs as a short-priced favorite. The Ogre United vs Liepajas Metalurgs prediction is an away win. The stats make it hard to see any other outcome. Ogre United has lost 20 of 28 league games, and Liepajas Metalurgs has a perfect H2H record. A bet on the away team to win is the most logical betting tip for this Virsliga match.

Ogre United vs Liepajas Metalurgs – FAQ

Who will win Ogre United vs Liepajas Metalurgs?
Liepajas Metalurgs is the clear favorite to win. The win probability is 65% for Liepajas Metalurgs, 22% for a draw, and 13% for Ogre United.
What is the win probability for Liepajas Metalurgs?
Liepajas Metalurgs has a 65% chance to win this match. This is based on their perfect head-to-head record of 3 wins in 3 games, a 26-point lead in the Virsliga table, and Ogre United's poor form with no wins in their last five matches.
When is the Ogre United vs Liepajas Metalurgs match?
The match is on September 11, 2026, at 14:00. It is a Virsliga fixture in Latvia.
What are the odds for the match?
Odds for this match are not currently available in the data. Based on the stats, Liepajas Metalurgs would be a strong favorite with bookmakers.