Lillestrom SK Kvinner Women - Lyn Women prediction 19/09/2026

The Lillestrom SK Kvinner Women vs Lyn Women prediction for the Toppserien Women match on September 19, 2026, at 15:00 points to an away win as the most likely outcome. Based on recent form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, Lyn Women enters this match as the favorite with a 48% win probability, while Lillestrom SK Kvinner Women has a 27% chance and the draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Lillestrom SK Kvinner Women are struggling badly. Their last five results read L, D, L, L, L. A 5-1 loss at Stabaek Women on Sep 13 and a 1-0 defeat at Molde Women on Aug 22 highlight a team that finds it hard to score and even harder to defend. At home, they drew 1-1 with Bodo Glimt Women and lost 2-1 to Rosenborg Kvinner Women. The only positive is that they managed a point in that Bodo Glimt Women match.

Lyn Women's form is mixed but clearly better. Their last five results are L, W, L, L, W. A 3-0 loss at home to league leaders Brann Sandviken Women on Sep 13 is a heavy result, but before that they won 3-1 at Roa Women. Away from home, Lyn Women have picked up wins at Roa Women and a 5-0 friendly win against this same Lillestrom SK Kvinner Women side in early August. That recent friendly result gives a strong hint about the gap between these two teams right now.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record heavily favors Lillestrom SK Kvinner Women with 19 wins to Lyn Women's 4, plus 4 draws. But recent meetings tell a different story. In the last five matches, Lyn Women won 5-0 in a friendly on Aug 8, 2026, and drew 1-1 in the league on Mar 28, 2026. Lillestrom SK Kvinner Women's last win was a 4-0 home victory in November 2025. The most recent competitive match, a 1-1 draw in March, and the 5-0 friendly thrashing suggest the power balance has shifted toward Lyn Women.

League Table Positions

In the Toppserien Women standings, Lyn Women sit 6th with 19 points from 15 matches (5 wins, 4 draws, 6 losses). Lillestrom SK Kvinner Women are 8th with 15 points (4 wins, 3 draws, 8 losses). The away table shows Lillestrom SK Kvinner Women in 8th with 8 points from 7 away games, while Lyn Women are 6th in the home standings with 9 points from 7 home matches. Neither side is in top form, but Lyn Women's goal difference of +6 (26 scored, 20 conceded) is far healthier than Lillestrom SK Kvinner Women's -8 (20 scored, 28 conceded).

Win Probability: Lillestrom SK Kvinner Women or Lyn Women?

Who will win this match? We calculate the probabilities as follows: Lyn Women win – 48%, draw – 25%, Lillestrom SK Kvinner Women win – 27%. This is based on Lyn Women's superior recent form, the 5-0 friendly win in August, a better league position, and a stronger goal difference. Lillestrom SK Kvinner Women's home advantage is factored in, but their run of four losses in five games simply does not support a higher win chance. The historical H2H dominance of Lillestrom SK Kvinner Women is the main reason their probability is not lower, but current form overrides old stats.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not available in the data. Without bookmaker prices, our Lillestrom SK Kvinner Women vs Lyn Women prediction relies purely on the stats. The numbers point to an away win or a draw as the most realistic outcomes. Lyn Women are the better side on current form and have already shown they can score freely against this opponent. A low-scoring match is possible given both teams' recent struggles in front of goal, but the betting tip here is to back Lyn Women to avoid defeat. The match outcome chances make the away side the smart pick in this Toppserien Women fixture.