Ljungskile - Norrby IF prediction 09/09/2026

Ljungskile vs Norrby IF prediction for the Superettan match on September 9, 2026, at 17:00. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Ljungskile enters this match as the slight favorite with a 45% win probability. The draw is at 29%, while Norrby IF has a 26% chance to take all three points.

Team Form

Ljungskile's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches, they recorded one win, two draws, and two losses. Their most recent result was a 2-2 draw away against IFK Norrkoping on Sep 04. Before that, they lost 0-1 at home to Varnamo and drew 0-0 with Ostersunds FK. The only win in this stretch came in the Cup against IK Franke, a 1-0 away victory.

Norrby IF is also struggling for consistency. Their last five matches show one win, one draw, and three losses. They are coming off a 1-3 home defeat to Landskrona BoIS on Sep 05. Before that, they lost 0-1 to GIF Sundsvall and drew 1-1 with Sandvikens IF. Their lone win was a 2-0 Cup success against Dalstorps IF.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Ljungskile and Norrby IF shows a slight edge for the away side. In their last 9 meetings, Norrby IF has won 4 times, Ljungskile has won 3, and 2 matches ended in draws. The most recent clash was on May 23, 2026, when Norrby IF won 2-1 at home in the Superettan. However, Ljungskile won the previous friendly 2-1 in March 2026. The last time Ljungskile hosted Norrby IF in a league match was a 0-2 loss in April 2025.

League Table Positions

Ljungskile sits 11th in the Superettan table with 25 points from 22 matches (6 wins, 7 draws, 9 losses). They have scored 29 goals and conceded 30. Norrby IF is just below them in 12th place with 23 points (4 wins, 11 draws, 7 losses), scoring 26 and conceding 31. The home and away splits are not available for both teams in the provided standings, but the overall table shows a tight gap of only 2 points between these two sides.

Win Probability: Ljungskile or Norrby IF?

After analyzing all available data, we calculate the win probability as follows: Ljungskile has a 45% chance to win, the draw is at 29%, and Norrby IF has a 26% chance. These percentages are based on the average bookmaker odds, which imply a home win probability around 49% before removing the margin. We adjusted this downward slightly due to Ljungskile's poor recent form (only 1 win in 5) and Norrby IF's better head-to-head record. The home advantage factor keeps Ljungskile as the favorite, but the high number of draws in Norrby's season (11 in 22 games) pushes the draw probability up significantly. Overall, Ljungskile is more likely to win, but this is a close match where any outcome is possible.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match are: Ljungskile win at 2.02, draw at 2.38, and Norrby IF win at 3.40. Other bookmakers offer similar lines, with the home win trading as low as 1.91 and the away win as high as 3.65. These odds confirm that bookmakers see Ljungskile as the favorite. Our Ljungskile vs Norrby IF prediction is a home win, but with low confidence given the teams' similar league positions and recent form. A draw is a very realistic outcome here, and betting tips would point to the double chance market or under 2.5 goals as safer options based on the stats.