Puszcza Niepolomice - LKS Lodz prediction 11/09/2026

The Puszcza Niepolomice vs LKS Lodz prediction for September 11, 2026 is here. This I Liga match kicks off at 18:45, and based on the stats LKS Lodz enters as the slight favorite with a 48% win probability. Puszcza Niepolomice has a 27% chance, and the draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Puszcza Niepolomice comes into this match with a mixed run of results. Their last five outings show two wins, one draw, and two losses (D, W, W, L, L). A recent 2-0 home win against Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biala on August 29 showed what they can do, but a 3-0 loss at Arka Gdynia on August 17 exposed some away struggles. At home, they have been a bit up and down, with a cup win at Wisla Plock II and a league loss to Unia Skierniewice.

LKS Lodz has been more consistent lately. Their last five results are two wins, two draws, and one loss (D, L, D, W, W). A strong 4-0 home win over Stal Mielec on August 23 and a 2-1 victory against Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza on August 16 highlight their attacking threat. Away from home, they drew 1-1 at Arka Gdynia and 0-0 at Odra Opole, showing they are tough to beat on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams favors Puszcza Niepolomice. In four previous meetings, Puszcza Niepolomice has won three times, LKS Lodz has won once, and there have been no draws. The most recent clash was on May 18, 2026, when Puszcza Niepolomice won 1-0 at home. Before that, on November 8, 2025, Puszcza won 3-0 away at LKS Lodz. The older matches from 2024 and 2023 also went Puszcza's way, with a 2-1 home win and a 3-2 away loss for LKS Lodz. History clearly points to a Puszcza Niepolomice advantage in this fixture.

League Table Positions

Looking at the I Liga standings, LKS Lodz is in 3rd place with 12 points from 7 matches (3 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss). They have scored 11 goals and conceded 6. Puszcza Niepolomice is not in the top 12 of the overall table, which suggests a lower position. At home, LKS Lodz is ranked 1st with 9 points from 4 games, a very strong home record. Puszcza Niepolomice does not appear in the home or away top 8, indicating they have struggled for consistency. The table gap makes LKS Lodz the stronger side on paper this season.

Win Probability: Puszcza Niepolomice or LKS Lodz?

After analyzing the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league table, here are the win probabilities for this match. LKS Lodz has a 48% chance to win, the draw is at 25%, and Puszcza Niepolomice has a 27% chance. The odds from bookmakers show LKS Lodz as the favorite with an away win priced around 2.60, while a home win for Puszcza is around 3.05. The draw is the shortest price at about 2.18. We adjusted the implied probabilities from these odds using the current form and the head-to-head record. LKS Lodz's higher league position and better recent form give them the edge, but Puszcza's strong H2H record and home advantage keep this match close. The most likely outcome is an away win, but a draw is a real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds for this I Liga match show a tight contest. One bookmaker has the home win at 3.00, the draw at 2.20, and the away win at 2.62. Another lists 3.10 for a Puszcza Niepolomice win, 2.15 for the draw, and 2.58 for an LKS Lodz victory. Based on the stats, bookmakers see LKS Lodz as the favorite, but the low draw odds suggest a close game is expected. Our Puszcza Niepolomice vs LKS Lodz prediction is an away win, but with caution. The head-to-head record and the home team's ability to grind out results against LKS Lodz mean a bet on the draw could also offer value. For betting tips, the under 2.5 goals market might be worth a look given the recent tight matches between these sides.