Dinamo Tbilisi II - Lokomotivi Tbilisi prediction 27/08/2026

The Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi prediction for the 3 Liga match on August 27, 2026, points to a tight contest. Based on our analysis, Dinamo Tbilisi II has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Lokomotivi Tbilisi has a 30% chance. Bookmakers see the home side as a slight favorite, but the head-to-head record tells a different story.

Team Form

Dinamo Tbilisi II come into this match with three wins and two losses in their last five games. They beat Iveria Khashuri 5-2 away, Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 4-3 at home, and Kolkheti Khobi 3-2 away. The two defeats were a 3-1 friendly loss to Aragvelebi and a 5-1 cup loss to Spaeri. In the league, their attack has been sharp, scoring 30 goals in 18 matches.

Lokomotivi Tbilisi have two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five. They won 4-0 at home against Gonio and 1-0 away at Guria Lanchkhuti, drew 1-1 at FC Iberia Tiblisi 1999 2, and lost friendlies and a cup match. With 20 goals scored and 22 conceded in the league, they have been less consistent than their opponents.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Lokomotivi Tbilisi. In eight previous meetings, Lokomotivi Tbilisi have won five, with three draws, and Dinamo Tbilisi II have yet to win. The most recent clash, on April 2, 2026, ended 1-1. Earlier results include a 5-1 and a 4-2 win for Lokomotivi Tbilisi, and a 3-1 away victory. This H2H dominance is a key factor in our Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi prediction.

League Table Positions

In the 3 Liga standings, Dinamo Tbilisi II sit 9th with 27 points from 18 matches (8 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses). Lokomotivi Tbilisi are 10th with 23 points (6 wins, 5 draws, 7 losses). The gap is just four points, and both teams have similar goal differences. At home, Dinamo Tbilisi II have a mixed record, while Lokomotivi Tbilisi have been decent on the road, picking up 14 points from 9 away games.

Win Probability: Dinamo Tbilisi II or Lokomotivi Tbilisi?

We calculate the win probability as follows: Dinamo Tbilisi II 40%, draw 30%, Lokomotivi Tbilisi 30%. The base came from the bookmaker odds (home 1.90, draw 2.38, away 3.50), which imply a home win chance around 42%. However, the H2H record – zero wins for Dinamo Tbilisi II in eight attempts – forces an adjustment. Lokomotivi Tbilisi's historical edge and recent away form bring their chances up, while the draw also gets a boost from the last meeting ending level. So, who will win? It is too close to call a clear favorite, but Dinamo Tbilisi II have a narrow probability edge thanks to home advantage and slightly better league position.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds for this 3 Liga match show Dinamo Tbilisi II as the favorite at 1.90 for a home win, with the draw at 2.38 and an away win for Lokomotivi Tbilisi at 3.50. Another bookmaker offers a much shorter 1.40 on the home win and 1.08 on the draw, but those numbers appear to be an outlier. Our Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi prediction is a closely fought match. Based on the stats, the most likely outcomes are a narrow home win or a draw. Betting tips: the draw offers value at 2.38, and the under 2.5 goals market could also be worth a look given both teams' recent scoring patterns.