Athletic Club MG - Londrina PR prediction 13/10/2026

Our Athletic Club MG vs Londrina PR prediction for this Serie B match on October 13, 2026, at 19:30 points to a tight contest. Based on the latest odds, form, and head-to-head record, Athletic Club MG enters as the favorite with a 47% win probability. Londrina PR has a 28% chance of an away win, while the draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Athletic Club MG comes into this match with mixed results. Their last five games show two losses, two draws, and one win (L, L, D, D, W). The most recent outing was a 2-1 away defeat against Goias GO on October 6. Before that, they lost 2-1 at home to Sport Recife PE and drew 2-2 away at Fortaleza CE. The only win in this stretch was a 2-0 victory at Juventude RS on September 13.

Londrina PR is struggling badly. Their form reads four losses and one win in the last five (L, L, L, L, W). They lost 2-1 away to Avai SC on October 7, followed by a 2-0 home loss to Criciuma SC and a 2-0 defeat at Vila Nova GO. The bright spot was a 6-0 home thrashing of Ponte Preta SP on September 15, but that result looks like an outlier now.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before. In that head-to-head clash on June 20, 2026, Londrina PR beat Athletic Club MG 2-0 at home. The record stands at 0 wins for Athletic Club MG, 0 draws, and 1 win for Londrina PR. This gives the visitors a psychological edge, though the sample size is very small.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the overall Serie B standings, which means both are in the lower half of the table. The available data shows Juventude RS leading with 60 points from 33 matches. The home and away standings also do not list Athletic Club MG or Londrina PR among the top 8, indicating both sides have struggled for consistency this season.

Win Probability: Athletic Club MG or Londrina PR?

We calculate the win probability using the bookmaker odds as a base, adjusted for recent form and the head-to-head record. The average home win odds of 2.12 imply a raw probability of about 47%. The draw odds around 2.29 (after removing outliers) suggest a 25% chance, while the away win odds of roughly 3.60 give Londrina PR a 28% probability. Athletic Club MG's home advantage and slightly better recent form - with two draws and a win in their last five versus Londrina's four losses - support the favorite tag. However, Londrina's 2-0 win in the only previous meeting keeps the away win probability above 25%. The total adds up to 100%: Athletic Club MG 47%, draw 25%, Londrina PR 28%.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced this match with Athletic Club MG as the favorite. The best home win odds are around 2.22, with some books going as low as 2.05. The draw is offered between 2.02 and 3.27, and an away win for Londrina PR pays between 3.50 and 3.70. These betting tips reflect a cautious market - no clear standout, but the odds imply Athletic Club MG has the edge. Our Athletic Club MG vs Londrina PR prediction is a low-scoring home win or a draw. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow victory for Athletic Club MG, but Londrina PR's head-to-head win and the home side's inconsistent form mean the draw is a real possibility.