Sao Bernardo SP - Londrina PR prediction 10/09/2026

The Sao Bernardo SP vs Londrina PR prediction for September 10, 2026, points to a home-favored contest in Brazil's Serie B. Based on the latest odds, form and head-to-head record, Sao Bernardo SP has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Londrina PR has a 20% chance.

Team Form

Sao Bernardo SP come into this match with a mixed run: W, L, D, D, L in their last five outings. Their most recent result was a solid 2-0 away win at Ponte Preta SP on Sep 06. Before that, they lost 2-1 at Goias GO, drew 1-1 at home with Nautico PE, drew 1-1 at Fortaleza CE, and lost 0-1 at home to Botafogo SP. They have been tough to beat on the road but inconsistent at home recently.

Londrina PR are struggling for wins: L, D, L, D, L in their last five. They lost 1-2 at home to Operario PR on Sep 06, drew 0-0 at home with Juventude RS on Sep 01, lost 2-1 at Ceara CE, drew 0-0 at home with Atletico Goianiense GO, and lost 2-1 at Sport Recife PE. Goals have been hard to come by, and they have not won any of those five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last four meetings between these sides, Sao Bernardo SP have the edge with 1 win and 3 draws. Londrina PR have yet to beat them. The most recent clash was on May 12, 2026, when Sao Bernardo SP won 3-1 away at Londrina PR in Serie B. The three prior encounters all ended level: 1-1 on Oct 11, 2025, 2-2 on Sep 06, 2025, and 0-0 on May 05, 2025. The head-to-head clearly favors Sao Bernardo SP.

League Table Positions

The overall Serie B standings show Sao Bernardo SP are not listed in the top 12, but their away form is excellent - they rank 1st in the away table with 23 points from 13 games (7 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses). Londrina PR are also absent from the top 12 overall and home tables, which suggests both teams are in the lower half of the league. Sao Bernardo SP's strong away record gives them a psychological edge even when playing at home, as they know how to handle Londrina PR's style.

Win Probability: Sao Bernardo SP or Londrina PR?

After calculating the implied probabilities from the best available 1X2 odds (home 1.77, draw 2.10, away 4.20) and removing the bookmaker margin, the baseline chances are: Sao Bernardo SP 52%, draw 28%, Londrina PR 20%. The form guide supports this - Sao Bernardo SP have at least picked up a win and two draws in their last five, while Londrina PR are winless in five. The head-to-head record (1 Sao Bernardo SP win, 3 draws) also points to a home-favored outcome. Home advantage and Londrina PR's poor scoring form make Sao Bernardo SP the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Sao Bernardo SP as the clear favorite. The odds from our data show a home win priced as low as 1.77, the draw around 2.10-2.20, and an away win as high as 4.85. Based on the stats, the Sao Bernardo SP vs Londrina PR prediction is a home win, but the draw is a real possibility given the three stalemates in their last four meetings. A 1-0 or 2-1 scoreline for Sao Bernardo SP looks the most likely outcome.