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Lens - Lyon prediction 09/10/2026

France · Ligue 1·
LensLensDVDVD
Fim de jogo
2:1
LyonLyonDVVDV

Match info

Competição
Ligue 1 · France
Início

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Lens

Club BruggeLens30DUEFA Champions League

TroyesLens13VLigue 1

LensSporting Lisbon02DUEFA Champions League

LensLyon21VLigue 1

MonacoLens21DLigue 1
Lyon

TSG 1899 HoffenheimLyon30DUEFA Europa League

LyonNice21VLigue 1

LyonCrystal Palace32VUEFA Europa League

LensLyon21DLigue 1

LyonRennes40VLigue 1

Confronto direto

14 confrontos
Lens 5Empates 45 Lyon

LensLyon21Ligue 1

LyonLens04Ligue 1

LyonLens22Cup

LensLyon01Ligue 1

LyonLens12Ligue 1

LyonLens03Ligue 1

LyonLens21Ligue 1

LensLyon10Ligue 1

LensLyon11Ligue 1

LyonLens21Ligue 1

Ligue 1 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Lyon742113:514
2PSG742114:914
3Paris FC742112:714
4LOSC Lille742110:514
5Monaco742110:614
6Rennes741215:1413
7Lorient73227:611
8Nice83238:1011
9Lens731314:1110
10Marseille730414:109
11Brest823314:129
12Toulouse723212:119
13Auxerre730411:179
14Strasbourg721412:157
15Angers72149:157
16Le Mans713310:156
17Troyes71155:164
18Le Havre70255:112

Lens vs Lyon prediction for the Ligue 1 match on October 9, 2026, at Stade Bollaert-Delelis. Lyon is the favorite with a 45% win probability, while Lens has a 30% chance and the draw sits at 25%. Bookmakers see this as a close game, but recent form and head-to-head numbers point to an away win.

Team Form

Lens comes into this match with poor recent results. In their last five games, they lost to Monaco (2-1), drew with Le Mans (2-2), beat Slavia Praha (3-2), and lost to Lorient (1-0) and Strasbourg (2-1). That is one win, one draw, and three losses. At home, Lens lost to Lorient and has struggled to keep clean sheets.

Lyon is in much better shape. Their last five matches: a 4-0 win over Rennes, a 2-1 win at Anderlecht, a 0-0 draw with Paris FC, a 3-1 win over Auxerre, and a 1-1 draw with Le Havre. That is three wins and two draws, with 10 goals scored. Away from home, Lyon has won two and drawn one in their last three trips.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last 13 meetings between these teams, Lyon has the edge with 5 wins, Lens has 4, and 4 draws. The most recent five matches show Lyon dominance: they won 4-0 in May 2026, drew 2-2 in a Cup game in March 2026, won 1-0 at Lens in August 2025, won 2-1 in May 2025, and won 3-0 in March 2024. Lens has not beaten Lyon in any of those five games.

League Table Positions

Lyon sits 2nd in Ligue 1 with 11 points from 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses). They have scored 10 goals and conceded only 2. Lens is outside the top 12 in the overall standings, with a much weaker record. In the away table, Lyon is 4th with 4 points from 2 games (1 win, 1 draw). Lens does not appear in the top 8 of the home standings.

Win Probability: Lens or Lyon?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the chances as follows: Lyon has a 45% probability to win, the draw is at 25%, and Lens has a 30% chance. The bookmakers' average implied odds gave Lens a slight edge, but Lyon's strong away form and historical dominance adjust the numbers in their favor. Lyon is the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer these 1X2 odds for Lens vs Lyon: home win around 2.28, draw 3.85, away win 2.80. Some books have the home win as low as 2.00 and the away win as high as 3.30. The market sees this as a tight contest, but the value may be on Lyon given their current run. Our Lens vs Lyon prediction is an away win, with a 45% chance for Lyon to take all three points. Betting tips: Lyon to win or draw looks solid, and under 2.5 goals could be an option based on Lyon's strong defense.

Lens vs Lyon – FAQ

Who will win Lens vs Lyon?
Lyon is the favorite with a 45% win probability. Lens has a 30% chance, and the draw is at 25%. Lyon's better form and head-to-head record give them the edge.
What is the win probability for Lyon?
Lyon has a 45% chance to win this match. This is based on odds, recent results, and their strong away performances in Ligue 1.
When is the Lens vs Lyon match?
The match is on October 9, 2026, at 15:45 local time. It is a Ligue 1 fixture played at Stade Bollaert-Delelis in Monaco.
What are the odds for Lens vs Lyon?
The 1X2 odds are around 2.28 for a Lens win, 3.85 for a draw, and 2.80 for a Lyon win. Some bookmakers have Lyon as high as 3.30.
What is the head-to-head record between Lens and Lyon?
In the last 13 meetings, Lyon has 5 wins, Lens 4, and 4 draws. Lyon has won four of the last five, with one draw.