Hapoel Ironi Karmiel - Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona prediction 12/10/2026

Our Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona prediction for the Israel Cup match on October 12, 2026, at 12:30 points to a clear favorite: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel. Based on the latest odds and team form, Hapoel Ironi Karmiel has a 75% chance to win, the draw sits at 16%, and Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona has a 9% chance. The home side comes into this game in much better shape, and the bookmakers agree.

Team Form

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel is unbeaten in its last five matches across all competitions. The team recorded two wins and three draws. In their most recent game on October 8, they beat Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 1-0 at home in League Alef. Before that, they played three straight draws against Hapoel Um El Fahem (0-0), Ironi Nesher (1-1), and Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad (1-1). Their best recent performance was a 3-0 home win over Hapoel Bnei Musmus on September 10.

Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona has only three recent matches in our data, and the form is poor. They lost 2-0 at home to Hapoel Daliyat Karmel in the Cup on September 15, and lost 3-2 at home to Beitar Ramat Gan in a Cup match back in August 2025. The only win in the sample is an old 4-2 home victory over Sport Club Tel-Aviv from 2016. The away team struggles to get results, and that is a key factor for our Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona prediction.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no direct head-to-head record between these two teams in our database. The stats read zero home wins, zero draws, and zero away wins for either side. This will be the first meeting with the data we have available, which makes the current form and odds even more important for betting tips.

League Table Positions

We do not have the exact league table positions for these clubs right now. Hapoel Ironi Karmiel plays in League Alef, and their recent results suggest they are in the top half of the table. Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona plays in Liga Leumit and has very limited recent match data. The difference in match fitness and competitive rhythm gives Hapoel Ironi Karmiel a clear edge in this Cup tie.

Win Probability: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel or Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona?

We calculated the win probability by taking the inverse of the best available 1X2 odds, removing the typical bookmaker margin, and adjusting for the strong home form of Hapoel Ironi Karmiel and the lack of competitive minutes for Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona. The numbers are clear: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel has a 75% chance of winning, the draw has a 16% chance, and Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona has just a 9% chance. The question "who will win" this match gets a firm answer – Hapoel Ironi Karmiel is the most likely winner, with a very high probability.

Odds & Match Prediction

The 1X2 odds from three bookmakers show a heavily one-sided market. The first bookmaker offers 1.30 for a home win, 5.55 for the draw, and 9.33 for an away win. The second has 1.30 for the home win, 2.75 for the draw, and 6.00 for the away win. The third lists 1.29 for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel to win, with a draw at 2.60 and an away win at 7.00. All bookmakers see Hapoel Ironi Karmiel as the strong favorite. Our match prediction, based on the stats, form, and odds: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel to win. A home victory is the most logical betting tip for this Cup match.