Magallanes - Puerto Montt prediction 13/09/2026

The Magallanes vs Puerto Montt prediction for the Primera B match on September 13, 2026, at 15:30 points to a home win. Based on the odds, form, and head-to-head record, Magallanes has a 51% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Puerto Montt has a 21% chance. This betting tips guide breaks down all the key stats to help you decide who will win.

Team Form

Magallanes comes into this match with mixed recent results. Their last five games show two wins, two draws, and one loss (D, L, W, W, D). At home, they drew 0-0 with Union San Felipe and beat Deportes Santa Cruz 1-0. They also had a 2-2 draw against Cobreloa. Magallanes has scored 38 goals and conceded 37 in 23 league matches, showing they are involved in high-scoring games.

Puerto Montt's form is less consistent. Their last five results are W, L, L, D, L. They won 2-0 at home against Curico Unido but lost 3-1 away to Deportes Temuco and suffered a heavy 0-4 home defeat to Deportes Iquique. With 25 goals scored and 27 conceded, Puerto Montt struggles to find the net regularly, especially on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams shows a tight history. In 17 previous meetings, Magallanes has 3 wins, Puerto Montt has 5 wins, and there have been 9 draws. The last five matches give Puerto Montt a slight edge with two wins (both 2-0 and 1-0 at home), while Magallanes won two home games (2-0 and 3-0). One match ended in a 1-1 draw. Notably, the home team has won three of the last five H2H clashes.

League Table Positions

In the Primera B overall standings, Magallanes sits 5th with 36 points from 23 games (10 wins, 6 draws, 7 losses). Puerto Montt is 8th with 34 points (10 wins, 4 draws, 9 losses). The gap is just two points, but the home and away splits tell a different story. Magallanes has the 2nd best away record in the league, but this match is at home where they will look to improve. Puerto Montt has a strong home record (5th) but their away form is not in the top 8, making this a tough trip.

Win Probability: Magallanes or Puerto Montt?

Who will win Magallanes vs Puerto Montt? We calculate the win probability based on the bookmaker odds, recent form, and H2H stats. The odds imply a home win probability around 51%, a draw at 28%, and an away win at 21%. Magallanes' home advantage and slightly better league position give them the edge. Puerto Montt's poor away form and low goal tally reduce their chances. The head-to-head record, with many draws, suggests a close game, but Magallanes is the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers see Magallanes as the favorite with odds of 1.88 for a home win. The draw is priced at 3.25, and a Puerto Montt away win is at 3.85. These odds reflect Magallanes' higher win probability. Our Magallanes vs Puerto Montt prediction is a home win, based on the stats. The home team has won three of the last five H2H meetings, and Puerto Montt has lost three of their last five away games. A 2-0 or 2-1 scoreline for Magallanes looks like a solid betting tip.