Match info
- Competição
- Bundesliga · Germany
- Início
Forma recente
últimos 5 jogos
Mainz 05Schalke 04Mainz 0501VBundesliga
Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen34DBundesliga
Borussia MonchengladbachMainz 0534VBundesliga
Mainz 05Eintracht Frankfurt13DBundesliga
Hamburger SVMainz 0505VBundesliga
SC Paderborn 07Werder BremenSC Paderborn 0722EBundesliga
SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart02DBundesliga
D.C. UnitedSC Paderborn 0701VFriendly Clubs
SC Paderborn 07TSG 1899 Hoffenheim31VBundesliga
Borussia DortmundSC Paderborn 0730DBundesliga
Confronto direto
4 confrontosMainz 05SC Paderborn 0700Bundesliga
Mainz 05SC Paderborn 0720Bundesliga
SC Paderborn 07Mainz 0512Bundesliga
SC Paderborn 07Mainz 0512Bundesliga
Bundesliga 2026 · classificação
| # | Time | J | V | E | D | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern Munich | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22:5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | 13 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Mainz 05 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 6 |  SV Elversberg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 7 |  RB Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16:11 | 9 |
| 8 |  Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 9 |  Hamburger SV | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:15 | 9 |
| 10 |  Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 8 |
| 11 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 12 |  FC Koln | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 13 |  VfB Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 14 |  TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:14 | 6 |
| 15 |  Schalke 04 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 16 | SC Paderborn 07 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:17 | 5 |
| 18 |  Borussia Monchengladbach | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8:20 | 0 |
Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction for the Bundesliga match on Aug 29, 2026, at 13:30. Based on the odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, Mainz 05 is the clear favorite with a 58% win probability. SC Paderborn 07 has an 18% chance, and the draw sits at 24%.
Team Form
Mainz 05 comes into this match in excellent shape. The team has four wins and one draw in the last five games. They beat VfB 1921 Krieschow 9-0 in the DFB Pokal, then won friendlies against Bournemouth (2-1), Paris FC (4-0), and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai (1-0), with a 3-3 draw against Udinese. The attack is firing, and the defense looks solid.
SC Paderborn 07 also shows good form with three wins and two draws in the last five. They won 4-2 against Phonix Lubeck in the DFB Pokal, beat VfL Osnabruck 2-0 and Fagiano Okayama 3-1, and drew 2-2 with Werder Bremen and 1-1 with VfL Wolfsburg. The team is competitive, but the step up in league level may be a challenge.
Head-to-Head Record
Mainz 05 has dominated the head-to-head against SC Paderborn 07. In three previous meetings, Mainz 05 won all three. The most recent clash was on Feb 29, 2020, in the Bundesliga, with Mainz 05 winning 2-0 at home. The other two matches, both in October 2019, ended 2-1 for Mainz 05 away. SC Paderborn 07 has never beaten Mainz 05, and they have failed to score in only one of those games.
Win Probability: Mainz 05 or SC Paderborn 07?
After analyzing the odds, form, and H2H, we calculate the win probabilities: Mainz 05 has a 58% chance to win, a draw has a 24% chance, and SC Paderborn 07 has an 18% chance. The odds imply a home win probability around 57%, and we adjusted slightly upward due to Mainz 05's perfect H2H record and strong home form at Mewa Arena. The home advantage and the quality gap make Mainz 05 the most likely winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
The best available odds for this Bundesliga match are: Mainz 05 win at 1.73, draw at 4.20, and SC Paderborn 07 win at 5.20. Bookmakers see Mainz 05 as the favorite, which matches our prediction. Based on the stats, the Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction points to a home win. A bet on Mainz 05 to win offers value, but the draw odds are also high. For betting tips, consider Mainz 05 to win and under 3.5 goals, as H2H matches have been low-scoring.