UCAM Murcia B - Mazarron prediction 11/10/2026

This UCAM Murcia B vs Mazarron prediction looks ahead to the Tercera Federacion match on Oct 11. Based on the latest odds, head-to-head record, and team form, UCAM Murcia B enters as the favorite with a 52% win probability.

Team Form

UCAM Murcia B comes into this match with mixed recent results. Their last five outings show two draws, one win, one loss, and one draw (D, D, W, L, D). In their most recent match on Sep 27, they drew 1-1 at home against Mar Menor CF. Before that, a 2-2 away draw at FC Cartagena B on Sep 20 showed they can score on the road. The standout performance was a 4-0 home win over Deportivo Maritimo on Sep 13.

Mazarron's form is poor. Their last five results read L, L, L, L, D. They lost 3-2 away to Union Molinense on Sep 27 and fell 1-0 at Bala Azul on Sep 12. A heavy 6-0 friendly loss to UCAM Murcia in August further highlights their struggles. The only point came in a 1-1 home draw with Real Murcia II on May 16.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head stats heavily favor UCAM Murcia B. In six previous meetings, UCAM Murcia B has 3 wins, 3 draws, and Mazarron has 0 wins. The most recent clash on Apr 26 ended in a 3-3 draw. Earlier, on Dec 20, 2025, the teams played a 1-1 draw at Mazarron. UCAM Murcia B won 3-1 at home on Dec 12, 2021, and also recorded a 2-2 draw back in 2019. Mazarron has never beaten UCAM Murcia B in this fixture.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the provided league standings for the current season. The table data shows other Tercera Federacion clubs, but UCAM Murcia B and Mazarron are not ranked in the top 12 overall, home, or away lists. This suggests both sides are in the lower half of the table, with Mazarron's poor away form likely leaving them near the bottom.

Win Probability: UCAM Murcia B or Mazarron?

After analyzing the odds, form, and head-to-head record, the win probability for this match is: UCAM Murcia B 52%, draw 28%, Mazarron 20%. The odds imply a home win is the most likely outcome, and UCAM Murcia B's unbeaten H2H record (3W-3D-0L) supports that. Mazarron's four losses in five games and zero away wins in this matchup make an away victory unlikely. The draw holds a solid chance given three of the last six meetings ended level.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for the 1X2 market show UCAM Murcia B as the clear favorite. The best available home win odds are 2.05, with other books offering 2.10, 2.60, 2.75, and 2.80. The draw is priced around 2.15 to 3.30, and an away win for Mazarron ranges from 3.00 to 3.50. Based on the stats, the UCAM Murcia B vs Mazarron prediction points to a home win, but the draw odds are short enough to consider a double chance bet. Mazarron's weak attack and UCAM Murcia B's solid home form make the home side the safest pick.