Mes Rafsanjan - Besat Kermanshah prediction 29/09/2026

Our Mes Rafsanjan vs Besat Kermanshah prediction for the Azadegan League match on September 29, 2026, points to a tight contest where a draw is the most probable outcome. Based on the latest odds, team form, and standings, Besat Kermanshah has a 27% chance to win, Mes Rafsanjan gets 25%, and the draw tops the list with a 48% probability. The match kicks off at 10:30 and the bookmakers see the stalemate as the likeliest result.

Team Form

Mes Rafsanjan has yet to score this season in the Azadegan League, with two goalless draws. Their last five matches across competitions read: D, W, L, L, D. The home side drew 0-0 against Havadar SC on September 16, beat Paykan 2-0 away back in February, lost to Esteghlal Khuzestan and Shams Azar Qazvin, and drew with Zob Ahan in January. The team shows defensive stability but lacks a cutting edge in attack.

Besat Kermanshah sits third in the standings with four points from two games. Their last five results: W, D, L, L, L. They won convincingly away at Havadar SC 3-0 on September 22, drew 0-0 at home to Naft Gachsaran, then suffered three consecutive defeats at the end of last season. The recent away win suggests they can perform on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no recorded head-to-head record between Mes Rafsanjan and Besat Kermanshah. This will be the first official meeting between the two clubs, making form and table positions the key indicators for betting tips.

League Table Positions

In the early Azadegan League table, Besat Kermanshah is 3rd with 4 points, a record of one win and one draw, and a 3-0 goal difference. Mes Rafsanjan is 10th with 2 points from two draws and a 0-0 goal record. Home form for Mes Rafsanjan: one draw (7th in home table). Away form for Besat Kermanshah: one win, 3-0 (3rd in away table). The numbers give Besat a slight edge, especially in scoring.

Win Probability: Mes Rafsanjan or Besat Kermanshah?

We calculated the match outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin from the 1X2 odds (3.40, 1.95, 3.40) and adjusting for recent results and league positions. The raw odds imply a 46.6% chance for the draw, and 26.7% for each side. After factoring in Besat Kermanshah’s stronger start, away win, and Mes Rafsanjan’s goalless streak, we adjust slightly: Mes Rafsanjan win 25%, draw 48%, Besat Kermanshah win 27%. So the question "who will win" leans toward Besat Kermanshah by a narrow margin, but the most likely match outcome is a draw.

Odds & Match Prediction

The match odds from bookmakers show the draw priced at 1.95, with both home and away wins at 3.40. That confirms the market sees this as an evenly matched affair with a clear draw favorite. Our Mes Rafsanjan vs Besat Kermanshah prediction aligns with that – we think the 1X (home or draw) market could be a safer play for bettors, while a cautious approach would be to back the draw. Based on the stats, a low-scoring match is on the cards, and the 0-0 or 1-1 correct score possibilities deserve attention if you are looking for betting tips.