Mes Rafsanjan - Havadar SC prediction 16/09/2026

The Mes Rafsanjan vs Havadar SC prediction for September 16, 2026, points to a tight Azadegan League contest with Mes Rafsanjan holding a slight edge. Based on the head-to-head record and recent form, Mes Rafsanjan enters as the favorite with a 52% win probability, while Havadar SC has a 22% chance and the draw sits at 26%.

Team Form

Mes Rafsanjan's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches, they recorded one win, one draw, and three losses (W, L, L, D, L). The win came away at Paykan on Feb 14, but home defeats to Esteghlal Khuzestan and a heavy loss at Tractor Sazi highlight defensive issues.

Havadar SC comes into this match in much better shape. Their last five results show three wins and two draws (W, W, W, D, D). They have been solid on the road, beating Nassaji Mazandaran and Besat Kermanshah without conceding, and they scored four goals in a home win over Damash Gilan.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Mes Rafsanjan. In eight previous meetings, Mes Rafsanjan has four wins, four draws, and Havadar SC has zero wins. The most recent clash on Apr 16, 2025, ended in a 4-0 away victory for Mes Rafsanjan. Three of the last five matches between these teams have ended in draws, so tight contests are common.

League Table Positions

Both teams are competing in the Azadegan League this season. While exact table positions are not provided, Havadar SC's strong recent form in this division suggests they are in the upper half. Mes Rafsanjan's recent matches were in the Pro League, indicating they were in the top flight last season and have since moved down, which adds an interesting dynamic to this fixture.

Win Probability: Mes Rafsanjan or Havadar SC?

After analyzing all available data, the win probability for this match is: Mes Rafsanjan 52%, draw 26%, Havadar SC 22%. The calculation is based on the head-to-head dominance of Mes Rafsanjan, who have never lost to Havadar SC in eight games. However, Havadar SC's current form is significantly better, which raises their chances and makes a draw a realistic outcome. The home advantage for Mes Rafsanjan also factors into their favorite status.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not available in the current data. Based purely on the stats, the Mes Rafsanjan vs Havadar SC prediction leans towards a home win or a draw. The head-to-head record makes it hard to back an away win, but Havadar SC's unbeaten run means they cannot be dismissed. A low-scoring match is likely, given that four of the last five H2H games had under 2.5 total goals.