Metalac Gornji Milanovac - FK Graficar Beograd prediction 21/09/2026

On Sep 21 at 16:00, Metalac Gornji Milanovac faces FK Graficar Beograd in Serbia's Prva Liga. This Metalac Gornji Milanovac vs FK Graficar Beograd prediction gives the away side a 55% win probability, making them the clear favorite to take all three points.

Team Form

Metalac Gornji Milanovac have been inconsistent lately. Their last five matches show two draws, two losses, and one win - a 5-0 home victory against Dubocica on Sep 11. Before that, they drew 0-0 with Proleter Zrenjanin 023 and lost 2-4 at home to Loznica. They sit 10th in the overall table with 8 points from 8 games, scoring 11 and conceding 11.

FK Graficar Beograd are struggling even more in recent weeks. Their form reads four straight losses and one draw. The draw was a 2-2 home result against Loznica on Aug 19. Since then, they lost 1-4 at home to Dubocica, 1-2 at Borac Cacak, and 1-4 at Vrsac. Despite this poor run, their overall head-to-head dominance gives them the edge in this matchup.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors FK Graficar Beograd. In 9 previous meetings, FK Graficar Beograd won 6, Metalac Gornji Milanovac won just 1, and 2 ended in draws. The most recent clash was a friendly on Jul 15, 2026, where Metalac Gornji Milanovac won 2-0 away. However, in competitive Prva Liga matches, FK Graficar Beograd have been dominant, including a 3-1 away win in Aug 2023 and a 2-0 home win in Apr 2023.

League Table Positions

In the overall Prva Liga standings, Metalac Gornji Milanovac are 10th with 8 points from 8 matches. FK Graficar Beograd are not listed in the top 12, suggesting they are lower in the table. The home side's home record is not among the top 8, while the away team's away form is also outside the top 8. This points to a match between two sides in the lower half of the table, but the historical matchup gives the visitors a clear psychological advantage.

Win Probability: Metalac Gornji Milanovac or FK Graficar Beograd?

Based on all available data, here is the win probability for this match: FK Graficar Beograd has a 55% chance to win, Metalac Gornji Milanovac has a 25% chance, and the draw is at 20%. This calculation uses the head-to-head record as the strongest factor - 6 wins in 9 games for FK Graficar Beograd. The recent form of both teams is poor, but the away side's historical dominance in this fixture cannot be ignored. Home advantage for Metalac Gornji Milanovac gives them a slightly higher chance than their H2H record suggests, but FK Graficar Beograd remains the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not available in the current data. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would likely price FK Graficar Beograd as the favorite. Our Metalac Gornji Milanovac vs FK Graficar Beograd prediction is an away win. The head-to-head record of 6 wins for FK Graficar Beograd in 9 meetings is the key factor. While both teams come into this game with poor recent results, the visitors know how to beat this opponent. A low-scoring match is possible, given both sides' struggles in front of goal, but FK Graficar Beograd should edge it.