Bohemians Praha 1905 - Mlada Boleslav prediction 14/10/2026

Looking for a Bohemians Praha 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav prediction? This 1. Liga match kicks off on Oct 14, 2026, at 13:00 at Dolicek in Prague. Based on the latest stats and odds, Mlada Boleslav is the slight favorite with a 42% win probability, while the home side sits at 33% and the draw at 25%.

Team Form

Bohemians Praha 1905 come into this game with a solid recent run. Their last five results read W, W, D, L, W. In their most recent match on Oct 10, they beat Banik Ostrava 1-0 at home. Before that, they smashed Vsetin 5-0 away in the Cup. The only recent blip was a 2-1 loss at Pardubice on Sep 19.

Mlada Boleslav's form is a bit more mixed: L, W, W, W, L. They are coming off a heavy 3-0 defeat at Viktoria Plzen on Oct 10. However, before that loss, they had three straight wins, including a 2-0 home victory over Zbrojovka Brno and a 3-0 Cup win at Trinec. The away form is a concern, with two losses in their last three road games in the league.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head stats between these two teams show a very even history. In 33 previous meetings, Bohemians Praha 1905 have 9 wins, Mlada Boleslav have 11, and there have been 13 draws. The last five matches tell a story of stalemates: four of them ended in draws, including a 0-0 result on Aug 29, 2026, and a 1-1 draw on Oct 22, 2025. The only recent win was a 2-1 away victory for Bohemians Praha 1905 on Mar 15, 2025.

League Table Positions

In the 1. Liga standings, Mlada Boleslav sits 4th with 17 points from 9 games (5 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). Bohemians Praha 1905 are 11th with 12 points from 9 matches (3 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses). The away team has a game in hand and a five-point advantage. Mlada Boleslav's home record is perfect this season (4 wins from 4), but this match is away, where they have only 5 points from 5 games. Bohemians Praha 1905's home form is not listed in the top 8, which suggests they have struggled at Dolicek.

Win Probability: Bohemians Praha 1905 or Mlada Boleslav?

Who will win this match? After analyzing the odds, form, and H2H, we calculate the win probability as follows: Mlada Boleslav has a 42% chance, Bohemians Praha 1905 has a 33% chance, and the draw is at 25%. The bookmakers' average odds (home 2.14, draw 2.63, away 3.16) imply a home win probability around 43% after removing the margin, but the strong H2H draw trend and Mlada Boleslav's higher league position adjust the numbers. The away team's poor recent away form and the head-to-head history of draws make this a tight contest, but Mlada Boleslav's overall quality gives them a narrow edge.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this Bohemians Praha 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav match are 2.22 for a home win, 3.78 for the draw, and 3.22 for an away win. Bookmakers see Bohemians Praha 1905 as the nominal favorite, but the high draw odds and the H2H record suggest value in backing the stalemate. Our Bohemians Praha 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav prediction: based on the stats, a draw is a real possibility, but Mlada Boleslav's superior league standing and goal difference make them the more likely winner if there is a result. A 1-1 or 2-1 away win are the most probable scorelines.